Wang Xiaobing, Zhao Fangxiao, Tian Xu, Min Shi, von Cramon-Taubadel Stephan, Huang Jikun, Fan Shenggen
China Center for Agricultural Policy, School of Advanced Agricultural Sciences, Peking University, Yiheyuan Road 5, Haidian District, Beijing, 100871, China.
Academy of Global Food Economics and Policy, College of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University, Tsinghua East Road 17, Haidian District, Beijing, 100083, China.
Glob Food Sec. 2022 Dec;35:100658. doi: 10.1016/j.gfs.2022.100658. Epub 2022 Oct 12.
We use high-frequency data to quantify the nature and performance of online food delivery platforms during the COVID-19 pandemic in urban China, and to estimate the short- and long-term effects of lockdown and reopening measures. A staggered difference-in-differences (DID) estimation strategy and event study approach are used to identify the effects of lockdown and reopening measures on the performance of online food delivery platforms and restaurants. The results indicate that some restaurants continued to operate and offer online food delivery while lockdowns were in effect. Both the number of operating restaurants and their online food delivery services rebounded and experienced further growth after lockdowns were lifted. The adjustment path of the online food delivery business following the implementation of lockdowns differed from the adjustment path following the lifting of lockdowns. The lockdown and reopening measures did not affect all types of restaurant/cuisine equally. We also examine possible impact mechanisms of lockdown measures on online food delivery and restaurants, and conduct robustness checks to confirm the stability of the main findings. This study contributes to the existing literature by confirming the positive contribution of online food delivery to the resilience of urban food systems in response to unexpected external shocks. Our results have implications for the design of policies to guarantee food supply and help urban food systems adapt to unexpected shocks.
我们使用高频数据来量化中国城市在新冠疫情期间在线外卖平台的性质和表现,并估计封锁和重新开放措施的短期和长期影响。采用交错差分估计策略和事件研究方法来确定封锁和重新开放措施对在线外卖平台和餐馆表现的影响。结果表明,在封锁期间,一些餐馆继续营业并提供在线外卖服务。解封后,营业餐馆数量及其在线外卖服务均出现反弹并进一步增长。实施封锁后在线外卖业务的调整路径与解封后的调整路径不同。封锁和重新开放措施对各类餐馆/菜肴的影响并不相同。我们还研究了封锁措施对在线外卖和餐馆可能的影响机制,并进行稳健性检验以确认主要研究结果的稳定性。本研究通过证实在线外卖对城市食品系统应对意外外部冲击的恢复力的积极贡献,为现有文献做出了贡献。我们的研究结果对保障食品供应及帮助城市食品系统适应意外冲击的政策设计具有启示意义。