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通过稳健的最优分散式决策支持系统闭环全球供应链。

Closing the loop of a global supply chain through a robust optimal decentralized decision support system.

机构信息

Department of Industrial Engineering, Sanandaj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Sanandaj, Iran.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Aug;30(39):89975-90005. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-23176-5. Epub 2022 Oct 22.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-022-23176-5
PMID:36272004
Abstract

This paper presents a novel decentralized decision support system to optimally design a general global closed-loop supply chain. This is done through an original risk-based robust mixed-integer linear programming that is formulated based on an initial uncertain bi-level programming. Addressing the decision-maker's (DM's) attitude toward risk, a scenario-based conditional value-at-risk is used to deal with demand and return uncertainty. Also, the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) conditions are employed to transform the model into its single-level counterpart. The results obtained from solving a numerical example through the proposed framework are compared with those of the corresponding centralized system, which is formulated through deterministic multi-objective programming and solved by the Lp-metric method. The results show that the use of the proposed framework improves the robustness of profit, income, and cost by about 28%, 34%, and 36% on average. However, a more conservative DM faces a larger cost of robustness than an optimistic DM while experiencing a more significant improvement in the system responsiveness. Using the proposed framework, the manager can measure the advantages, disadvantages, and consequences of their decisions before their actual implementation. This is because the model is capable of establishing fundamental trade-offs among risk, cost, profit, income, robustness, and responsiveness according to the DM's attitude toward risk.

摘要

本文提出了一种新颖的分散式决策支持系统,以优化设计一般的全局闭环供应链。这是通过一种基于初始不确定双层规划的原始基于风险的鲁棒混合整数线性规划来实现的。为了满足决策者(DM)的风险态度,使用基于场景的条件风险价值(CVaR)来处理需求和退货不确定性。此外,还利用 Karush-Kuhn-Tucker(KKT)条件将模型转换为其单层对应形式。通过所提出的框架求解数值示例得到的结果与通过确定性多目标规划制定并通过 Lp 度量法求解的相应集中式系统的结果进行了比较。结果表明,使用所提出的框架可将利润、收入和成本的稳健性提高约 28%、34%和 36%。然而,与乐观的 DM 相比,更为保守的 DM 在面临更大的稳健性成本的同时,系统响应性也会得到更大的提高。通过使用所提出的框架,经理可以在实际实施之前衡量其决策的优缺点和后果。这是因为该模型能够根据 DM 的风险态度,在风险、成本、利润、收入、稳健性和响应性之间建立基本的权衡。

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