Department of Civil Engineering, University of Louisiana, Lafayette, Louisiana, USA.
Texas Transportation Institute, San Antonio, USA.
Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot. 2023 Jun;30(2):210-219. doi: 10.1080/17457300.2022.2125532. Epub 2022 Oct 24.
Animal vehicle crash is a critical yet often under-emphasized safety concern of Louisiana. During 2014-2018, over 14,000 animal-related crashes cost Louisiana more than $520 million. To identify multiple key contributing factors and their association patterns, this study applied association rules mining in the dataset of animal-related roadway crashes that occurred during 2014-2018. Since high proportions of animal-related crashes involve complaint and no injury of vehicle occupants, separate analyses were performed for KAB (fatal, severe, and moderate injury) and CO (possible/complaint and no injury) crashes. Top rules ordered by higher lift values were interpreted and compared to implicate the quantified likelihood of crash patterns. KAB rules presented the likelihood of associations of characteristics such as unlighted dark conditions, interstate and parish roads, a wide range of speed limits, residential and open country locations, normal and rainy weather conditions, light trucks, young drivers, etc. The majority of CO crash patterns were associated with interstates, straight segments, normal driver conditions, clear weather, unlighted dark conditions, open country locations, a speed limit of 97 km/h or higher, etc. Findings in this study and their implications supported by prior studies are expected to be beneficial in strategic planning for identifying implementable countermeasures for animal-vehicle crashes.
动物车辆碰撞是路易斯安那州一个关键但经常被低估的安全问题。在 2014-2018 年期间,超过 14000 起与动物有关的碰撞事故使路易斯安那州损失超过 5.2 亿美元。为了确定多个关键的促成因素及其关联模式,本研究在 2014-2018 年期间发生的与动物有关的道路碰撞事故数据集中应用关联规则挖掘。由于涉及车辆乘员抱怨但无伤害的动物相关碰撞事故比例较高,因此分别对 KAB(致命、严重和中度伤害)和 CO(可能/抱怨和无伤害)碰撞事故进行了分析。根据更高提升值排序的顶级规则进行了解释,并进行了比较,以暗示出碰撞模式的量化可能性。KAB 规则提出了在无照明黑暗条件、州际和教区道路、广泛的限速、住宅和开放乡村地区、正常和雨天条件、轻型卡车、年轻驾驶员等特征之间存在关联的可能性。大多数 CO 碰撞模式与州际公路、直道、正常驾驶员条件、晴朗天气、无照明黑暗条件、开放乡村地区、限速 97km/h 或更高等有关。本研究中的发现及其得到先前研究支持的含义,预计将有助于制定战略规划,以确定针对动物与车辆碰撞事故的可实施对策。