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印度尼西亚日惹市感染的释放风险评估。 需注意,原文中“-Infected”表述不完整,可能影响准确理解。

Risk Assessment on the Release of -Infected in Yogyakarta, Indonesia.

作者信息

Buchori Damayanti, Mawan Amanda, Nurhayati Indah, Aryati Aryati, Kusnanto Hari, Hadi Upik Kesumawati

机构信息

Department of Plant Protection, Faculty of Agriculture, IPB University, Bogor 16680, Indonesia.

Center for Transdisciplinary and Sustainability Science, Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat, IPB University, Bogor 16153, Indonesia.

出版信息

Insects. 2022 Oct 12;13(10):924. doi: 10.3390/insects13100924.

Abstract

-infected is the latest technology that was developed to eliminate dengue fever. The Ministry of Research and Technology of the Republic of Indonesia (Kemenristekdikti) established an expert group to identify future potential risks that may occur over a period of 30 years associated with the release of -infected . The risk assessment consisted of identifying different hazards that may have impacts on humans and the environment. From the consensus among the experts, there were 56 hazards identified and categorized into 4 components, namely, ecological matters, efficacy in mosquito management, economic and sociocultural issues, and public health standards. There were 19 hazards in the ecological group. The overall likelihood in the ecology of the mosquito is very low (0.05), with moderate consequence (0.74), which resulted in negligible risk. For the efficacy in mosquito management group, there were 12 hazards that resulted in very low likelihood (0.11) with high consequence (0.85). The overall risk for mosquito management efficacy was very low (0.09). There were 14 hazards identified in the public health standard with very low likelihood (0.07), moderate consequence (0.50) and negligible risk (0.04). Lastly, 13 hazards were identified in the economic and sociocultural group with low likelihood (0.01) but of moderate consequence (0.5), which resulted in a very low risk (0.09). The risk severity level of the four components leading to the endpoint risk of "cause more harm" due to releasing -infected is negligible (0.01).

摘要

“-infected”是为消除登革热而研发的最新技术。印度尼西亚共和国研究与技术部(Kemenristekdikti)成立了一个专家小组,以确定在30年时间内与“-infected”释放相关的未来潜在风险。风险评估包括识别可能对人类和环境产生影响的不同危害。根据专家们的共识,共识别出56种危害,并分为4个组成部分,即生态问题、蚊虫管理效果、经济和社会文化问题以及公共卫生标准。生态组中有19种危害。蚊虫生态方面的总体可能性非常低(0.05),后果为中等(0.74),导致风险可忽略不计。对于蚊虫管理效果组,有12种危害导致可能性非常低(0.11),后果严重(0.85)。蚊虫管理效果的总体风险非常低(0.09)。在公共卫生标准方面识别出14种危害,可能性非常低(0.07),后果中等(0.50),风险可忽略不计(0.04)。最后,在经济和社会文化组中识别出13种危害,可能性低(0.01)但后果中等(0.5),导致风险非常低(0.09)。由于释放“-infected”导致“造成更多伤害”这一终点风险的四个组成部分的风险严重程度可忽略不计(0.01)。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/af62/9604481/bd618e2590b4/insects-13-00924-g001.jpg

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