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三十载工作生涯中的就业与工作时间安排模式变迁:一项序列聚类分析

Changing Employment and Work Schedule Patterns over the 30 Working Years-A Sequential Cluster Analysis.

机构信息

Silver School of Social Work, New York University, New York, NY 10003, USA.

Department of Social Work, National Taiwan University, Taipei 10617, Taiwan.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Oct 21;19(20):13677. doi: 10.3390/ijerph192013677.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

As labor markets have become increasingly volatile and precarious since 1980s, more workers are susceptible to working conditions such as unpredictable and unstable hours, threatening their economic security. However, our understanding of employment patterns regarding the changes in work schedules over our working lives has yet been established. This study builds our knowledge in this area by paying attention to how social positions may shape the specific work schedule patterns over our working lives.

METHODS

We used the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth-1979 (NLSY79) to examine our research questions. NLSY79 follows a nationally representative sample of United States men and women between the ages of 14 and 22 when first interviewed in 1979. The participants were then interviewed annually until 1994 and then biennially thereafter. We first conducted a sequence analysis to examine work schedule patterns between ages 22 and 53 ( = 7987). We then used a multinomial logit regression to examine the factors contributing to specific work schedule patterns, with attention to social position.

RESULTS

Our sequence analysis results suggest five work schedule patterns during 31 years of adult life: working only standard hours (25%), mainly standard hours with some portions of nonstandard hours (38%), standard hours during early working years but transitioning to either largely variable or mainly evening or night hours (14% and 13%), and mostly not working (10%). Our multinomial logit analysis indicates that being non-Hispanic Black, having a high school degree or below, or having ever experienced poverty or welfare by age 23 were more likely to have a nonstandard work schedule pattern than their counterparts.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis underscores the dynamic employment patterns over our working lives, with some groups more likely than others to be engaged in nonstandard or volatile work schedules. Importantly, the groups likely to be subject to nonstandard work schedules also tend to have relatively disadvantaged social positions, thus worsening their vulnerability in securing work characterized by stability and economic security.

摘要

目的

自 20 世纪 80 年代以来,劳动力市场变得越来越不稳定和脆弱,更多的劳动者更容易受到工作时间不可预测和不稳定等工作条件的影响,从而威胁到他们的经济安全。然而,我们对于工作生涯中工作时间表变化的就业模式的理解尚未建立。本研究通过关注社会地位如何塑造我们工作生涯中的特定工作时间表模式,来增进我们在这一领域的知识。

方法

我们使用了国家青年纵向调查-1979 年(NLSY79)来研究我们的问题。NLSY79 跟踪了一个具有全国代表性的美国男性和女性样本,他们在 1979 年首次接受采访时年龄在 14 至 22 岁之间。然后,参与者每年接受一次采访,直到 1994 年,然后每两年采访一次。我们首先进行了序列分析,以研究 22 至 53 岁(=7987)之间的工作时间表模式。然后,我们使用多项逻辑回归分析来研究导致特定工作时间表模式的因素,并关注社会地位。

结果

我们的序列分析结果表明,在 31 年的成年生活中有五种工作时间表模式:仅工作标准时间(25%)、主要工作标准时间但有部分非标准时间(38%)、工作早期标准时间但过渡到主要可变时间或主要晚上或夜间时间(14%和 13%)和主要不工作(10%)。我们的多项逻辑回归分析表明,非西班牙裔黑人、高中或以下学历、或在 23 岁之前经历过贫困或福利的人,比同龄人更有可能从事非标准工作时间表模式。

结论

我们的分析强调了我们工作生涯中的动态就业模式,一些群体比其他群体更有可能从事非标准或不稳定的工作时间表。重要的是,那些可能从事非标准工作时间表的群体往往也处于相对不利的社会地位,从而使他们在确保稳定和经济安全的工作方面更加脆弱。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f9de/9603687/fff2d1a4a978/ijerph-19-13677-g001.jpg

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