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通过全面分析重新审视新冠病毒疾病(COVID-19)死亡率与海拔高度的关联

Revisiting the COVID-19 fatality rate and altitude association through a comprehensive analysis.

作者信息

Bridgman Carson, Gerken Jacob, Vincent Joshua, Brooks Amanda E, Zapata Isain

机构信息

Department of Biomedical Sciences, Rocky Vista University, College of Osteopathic Medicine, 8401 S. Chambers Rd., Parker, CO, 80134, USA.

Department of Research and Scholarly Activity, Rocky Vista University, College of Osteopathic Medicine, Ivins, UT, 84738, USA.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2022 Oct 27;12(1):18048. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-21787-z.

Abstract

The emergence of COVID-19 virus has led to a pandemic with staggering morbidity and mortality. There is evidence showing that pre-existing conditions and environmental factors are associated with worse COVID-19 outcomes. Among these conditions, altitude is of particular interest. Altitude has been shown to influence the morbidity and mortality of multiple chronic pathologies such as cardiovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and lung cancer. COVID-19 fatality rate has been associated with as altitude as well, but findings are disputed. Therefore, we revisit this assessment with a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between COVID-19 fatality rates and altitude for the Mountain region of the United States while considering the effect of additional comorbidities and sociodemographic factors. A Generalized Additive Model (GAM) approach using one year of county data adjusted by population density was performed to evaluate associations within states and for the whole region. Our analysis revealed a consistent effect where COVID-19 case-fatality rate is decreased with higher altitude, even when controlling for pre-existing conditions and certain demographic variables. In summary, the work presented provides evidence that suggests that the protective effects of high altitude are likely to be influenced by physiologic factors but demographic trends that are associated with life at high altitude must also be considered.

摘要

新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)病毒的出现导致了一场发病率和死亡率惊人的大流行。有证据表明,既往疾病和环境因素与更差的COVID-19结局相关。在这些因素中,海拔高度尤其值得关注。海拔高度已被证明会影响多种慢性疾病的发病率和死亡率,如心血管疾病、慢性阻塞性肺疾病和肺癌。COVID-19死亡率也与海拔高度有关,但研究结果存在争议。因此,我们通过全面分析美国山区COVID-19死亡率与海拔高度之间的关系,并考虑其他合并症和社会人口学因素的影响,重新进行了这项评估。我们采用广义相加模型(GAM)方法,利用经人口密度调整的一年县级数据,评估各州及整个地区内的关联。我们的分析揭示了一种一致的效应,即即使在控制了既往疾病和某些人口统计学变量的情况下,COVID-19病死率也会随着海拔高度的升高而降低。总之,本文所呈现的研究提供了证据,表明高海拔的保护作用可能受生理因素影响,但也必须考虑与高海拔地区生活相关的人口统计学趋势。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bc78/9613913/9287860e775f/41598_2022_21787_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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