The pattern of failure after Stereotactic Radiation Therapy (SRT) for oligo-metastases: predictive factors for poly-progression.

PURPOSE

Patients with oligo-metastatic disease (OMD) can be safely treated with Stereotactic Radiation Therapy (SRT). Further disease progression is common in these patients. In most cases, patients relapse again with oligo-metastases, however some can experience a poly-progression after a local ablative treatment (LAT). The purpose of this study was to retrospectively identify factors associated with poly-progression in patients receiving SRT for OMD.

METHODS

Data from a monocentric database were retrospectively analyzed. Patients treated with SRT for OMD and who developed progression after LAT were selected. Patients were categorized as oligo- or poly-progressive according to the number of new/progressing metastases (≤ or > 5). Herein, we analyzed data about patients' characteristics, oligo-metastatic presentation and radiation treatment characteristics to evaluate their relationship with progression type.

RESULTS

From 2013 to 2021, data on 700 patients progressing after LAT were analyzed. Among them, 227 patients (32.4%) experienced a poly-progression; the median time to poly-progression was 7.72 months (range 1-79.6). Five variables associated with poly-progression were found to be statistically significant in the univariate analysis: performance status (p < 0.001), site of the primary tumor (p = 0.016), ablative dose (p = 0.002), treated site (p = 0.002), single or double organ (p = 0.03). Of those, all but the number of involved organs retained their significant predictive value on the multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

Our study identified four independent factors associated with poly-progression in patients with OMD receiving SRT. Our data may support comprehensive characterization of OMD, better understanding of factors associated with progression.