Nunns Michael, Febrey Samantha, Buckland Jill, Abbott Rebecca, Whear Rebecca, Bethel Alison, Boddy Kate, Shaw Liz, Coon Jo Thompson, Melendez-Torres G J
Isca Evidence, University of Exeter Medical School, Faculty of Health & Life Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, Devon, UK.
NIHR Applied Research Collaboration South West Peninsula (PenARC), University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, Devon, UK.
Health Technol Assess. 2025 Jun 25:1-73. doi: 10.3310/SKHT8119.
BACKGROUND: Glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists are a class of drug originally developed to treat type 2 diabetes but now increasingly used for weight loss, especially in people living with obesity. Despite an abundance of evidence about the effectiveness and safety of glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists for weight loss, network meta-analyses are inconsistent in their quality and scope, and this is a fast-moving field. OBJECTIVES: We sought to identify the most recent network meta-analyses evaluating the effectiveness of glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists for weight loss; critically appraise included network meta-analyses; provide an overview of the quality and findings of existing network meta-analyses, and identify any pertinent gaps in the evidence; and consider the value of updating the most recent, comprehensive and high-quality network meta-analyses. METHODS: On 6 June 2023, we searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and Epistemonikos for systematic reviews with network meta-analyses published since 2020 in adults (18 or above) with body mass index ≥ 25 (or ≥ 23 for Asian populations), including at least one relevant glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonist and weight loss outcomes. We screened and selected reviews in duplicate and independently, and appraised reviews using a modified A MeaSurement Tool to Assess systematic Reviews 2 (AMSTAR-2) and a network meta-analysis reliability checklist. The highest-quality reviews were then extracted in depth, and the most relevant network meta-analysis models identified, focusing on weight loss and safety outcomes. A top-up search for trials published since October 2022 was also undertaken to identify relevant trials not included in published network meta-analyses. A further search for new network meta-analyses was conducted on 26 September 2024. RESULTS: Of 22 systematic reviews identified, 14 were prioritised for analysis as the remaining 8 reviews were rated as low or critically low quality. We focused on network meta-analyses of weight loss outcomes measured at 6 months, 12 months, longer than 12 months or over a mix of time points. At 6 months, subcutaneous tirzepatide was the most effective drug associated with 9 kg (at 5 mg) to 12 kg (at 15 mg) of weight loss. However, the largest effects were seen for subcutaneous semaglutide 2.4 mg, which was associated with between 11.5 and 12.5 kg of weight loss, though this came from two network meta-analyses, both informed by six trials, and both merging findings across multiple time points. The relative effectiveness among glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists followed a pattern suggested by their performance against placebo, with tirzepatide and semaglutide standing out as the most effective drugs for weight loss. No network meta-analyses compared tirzepatide and semaglutide 2.4 mg. The drugs associated with the greatest weight loss, tirzepatide and semaglutide 2.4 mg, were generally associated with increased risk of safety issues compared to placebo. The update trial search identified 11 new trials, which, though largely small, could make a new network meta-analysis useful. The update search for network meta-analyses yielded 13 new includes. Among other novel comparisons, tirzepatide was indirectly compared with semaglutide 2.4 mg, outperforming it at 15 mg, but not 5 or 10 mg. Data again came from merged time points. DISCUSSION: To our knowledge, this is the first review of network meta-analyses of glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists. The evidence presented regarding weight loss is in general agreement with the wider literature, though data on tirzepatide were not as resounding as reported in some meta-analyses. LIMITATIONS: Current network meta-analyses of glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists with weight loss outcomes often lack clarity about the network meta-analysis methods, such as which trials were included. The tendency to combine multiple doses of drugs, and to merge findings from multiple time points, limits our understanding of dose and time effects. FUTURE WORK: Head-to-head trials of tirzepatide versus semaglutide 2.4 mg are required to determine their relative effectiveness and safety, as the two most promising options for weight loss, as are longer-term trials to establish the effectiveness and safety of glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists when taken for durations of > 72 weeks. FUNDING: This article presents independent research funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Evidence Synthesis programme as award number NIHR159924.
背景:胰高血糖素样肽-1受体激动剂是一类最初用于治疗2型糖尿病的药物,但现在越来越多地用于减肥,尤其是肥胖人群。尽管有大量证据表明胰高血糖素样肽-1受体激动剂在减肥方面的有效性和安全性,但网络荟萃分析在质量和范围上并不一致,而且这是一个快速发展的领域。 目的:我们试图识别评估胰高血糖素样肽-1受体激动剂减肥效果的最新网络荟萃分析;严格评估纳入的网络荟萃分析;概述现有网络荟萃分析的质量和结果,并识别证据中的任何相关空白;并考虑更新最新、全面和高质量网络荟萃分析的价值。 方法:2023年6月6日,我们在MEDLINE、EMBASE、Cochrane系统评价数据库和Epistemonikos中检索了自2020年以来发表的针对体重指数≥25(亚洲人群为≥23)的成年人(18岁及以上)的系统评价及网络荟萃分析,其中至少包括一种相关的胰高血糖素样肽-1受体激动剂和减肥结果。我们对检索到的综述进行了重复独立筛选和选择,并使用改良的系统评价测量工具2(AMSTAR-2)和网络荟萃分析可靠性清单对综述进行评估。然后深入提取质量最高的综述,并确定最相关的网络荟萃分析模型,重点关注减肥和安全性结果。我们还对2022年10月以来发表的试验进行了补充检索,以识别已发表网络荟萃分析中未纳入的相关试验。2024年9月26日,我们又对新的网络荟萃分析进行了检索。 结果:在识别出的22篇系统评价中,14篇被优先进行分析,其余8篇被评为低质量或极低质量。我们重点关注在6个月、12个月、超过12个月或多个时间点综合测量的减肥结果的网络荟萃分析。在6个月时,皮下注射替尔泊肽是最有效的药物,可减重9千克(5毫克剂量)至12千克(15毫克剂量)。然而,皮下注射2.4毫克司美格鲁肽的效果最为显著,减重11.5至12.5千克,不过这一结果来自两项网络荟萃分析,均基于六项试验,并合并了多个时间点的结果。胰高血糖素样肽-1受体激动剂之间的相对有效性遵循其与安慰剂对照表现所显示的模式,替尔泊肽和司美格鲁肽是最有效的减肥药物。没有网络荟萃分析对替尔泊肽和2.4毫克司美格鲁肽进行比较。与安慰剂相比,与最大程度减重相关的药物,即替尔泊肽和2.4毫克司美格鲁肽,通常与安全性问题风险增加相关。更新试验检索识别出11项新试验,尽管大多规模较小,但可能使新的网络荟萃分析变得有用。更新网络荟萃分析的检索产生了13项新纳入的研究。在其他新的比较中,替尔泊肽与2.4毫克司美格鲁肽进行了间接比较,在15毫克剂量下表现优于后者,但在5毫克或10毫克剂量下并非如此。数据同样来自合并的时间点。 讨论:据我们所知,这是对胰高血糖素样肽-1受体激动剂网络荟萃分析的首次综述。所呈现的关于减肥的证据与更广泛的文献总体一致,尽管关于替尔泊肽的数据不如一些荟萃分析中报道的那样有力。 局限性:目前关于具有减肥结果的胰高血糖素样肽-1受体激动剂的网络荟萃分析通常在网络荟萃分析方法方面缺乏清晰度,例如哪些试验被纳入。合并多种药物剂量以及合并多个时间点结果的趋势限制了我们对剂量和时间效应的理解。 未来工作:需要进行替尔泊肽与2.4毫克司美格鲁肽的头对头试验,以确定它们作为两种最有前景的减肥选择的相对有效性和安全性,还需要进行长期试验,以确定服用超过72周时胰高血糖素样肽-1受体激动剂的有效性和安全性。 资金来源:本文介绍了由英国国家卫生与保健研究所(NIHR)证据综合计划资助的独立研究,资助编号为NIHR159924。
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