Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, ESH Excellence Center of Hypertension, "Federico II" University of Naples Medical School, Naples, Italy.
Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, ESH Excellence Center of Hypertension, "Federico II" University of Naples Medical School, Naples, Italy.
Eur J Intern Med. 2023 Feb;108:28-36. doi: 10.1016/j.ejim.2022.11.018. Epub 2022 Nov 17.
The worldwide pandemic SARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with clinical course including a very broad spectrum of clinical manifestations, including death. Several studies and meta-analyses have evaluated the role of hypertension on prognosis, but with important limitations and conflicting results. Therefore, we decided to perform a new meta-analysis of the observational studies that explored the relationship between pre-existing hypertension and mortality risk in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection, using more stringent inclusion criteria to overcome the limitations inherent previous meta-analyses.
A systematic search of the on-line databases available up to 31 March 2022 was conducted, including peer-reviewed original articles, involving the adult population, where the role of hypertension on mortality due to SARS-CoV-2 infection was determined by Cox-proportional hazard models. Pooled hazard ratio (HR) was calculated by a random effect model. Sensitivity, heterogeneity, publication bias, subgroup and meta-regression analyses were performed.
Twenty-six studies (222,083 participants) met the pre-defined inclusion criteria. In the pooled analysis, pre-existing hypertension was significantly associated with mortality due to SARS-CoV-2 infection, both in unadjusted and adjusted models (HR: 1.55; 95% CI: 1.22 to 1.97). However, in separate analyses including results adjusted for crucial and strong predictors of mortality during SARS-CoV-2 infection (e.g. body weight), the association disappeared.
The results of this meta-analysis indicate that pre-existing hypertension is not an independent predictor of mortality during SARS-CoV-2 infection. Further studies should nevertheless be carried out worldwide to evaluate this role, independent of, or in interaction with, other confounders that may affect the mortality risk.
全球范围内的 SARS-CoV-2 感染大流行与临床病程相关,包括非常广泛的临床表现,甚至死亡。有几项研究和荟萃分析评估了高血压对预后的作用,但存在重要的局限性和相互矛盾的结果。因此,我们决定使用更严格的纳入标准进行一项新的荟萃分析,该分析评估了 SARS-CoV-2 感染患者中预先存在的高血压与死亡率风险之间的关系,以克服以前荟萃分析中固有的局限性。
系统检索了截至 2022 年 3 月 31 日在线数据库中的同行评审原始文章,涉及成年人群,其中通过 Cox 比例风险模型确定高血压对 SARS-CoV-2 感染导致的死亡率的作用。通过随机效应模型计算汇总风险比 (HR)。进行了敏感性、异质性、发表偏倚、亚组和荟萃回归分析。
26 项研究(222083 名参与者)符合预先确定的纳入标准。在汇总分析中,预先存在的高血压与 SARS-CoV-2 感染导致的死亡率显著相关,在未调整和调整模型中均如此 (HR:1.55;95%CI:1.22 至 1.97)。然而,在包括 SARS-CoV-2 感染期间死亡率的关键和强预测因素(例如体重)进行调整的单独分析中,这种关联消失了。
这项荟萃分析的结果表明,预先存在的高血压不是 SARS-CoV-2 感染期间死亡率的独立预测因素。然而,全世界仍应进行更多研究,以评估这种作用,独立于或与可能影响死亡率风险的其他混杂因素相互作用。