McGrath Sean, Katzenschlager Stephan, Zimmer Alexandra J, Seitel Alexander, Steele Russell, Benedetti Andrea
Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Department of Anesthesiology, 9144Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany.
Stat Methods Med Res. 2023 Feb;32(2):373-388. doi: 10.1177/09622802221139233. Epub 2022 Nov 22.
We consider the setting of an aggregate data meta-analysis of a continuous outcome of interest. When the distribution of the outcome is skewed, it is often the case that some primary studies report the sample mean and standard deviation of the outcome and other studies report the sample median along with the first and third quartiles and/or minimum and maximum values. To perform meta-analysis in this context, a number of approaches have recently been developed to impute the sample mean and standard deviation from studies reporting medians. Then, standard meta-analytic approaches with inverse-variance weighting are applied based on the (imputed) study-specific sample means and standard deviations. In this article, we illustrate how this common practice can severely underestimate the within-study standard errors, which results in poor coverage for the pooled mean in common effect meta-analyses and overestimation of between-study heterogeneity in random effects meta-analyses. We propose a straightforward bootstrap approach to estimate the standard errors of the imputed sample means. Our simulation study illustrates how the proposed approach can improve the estimation of the within-study standard errors and consequently improve coverage for the pooled mean in common effect meta-analyses and estimation of between-study heterogeneity in random effects meta-analyses. Moreover, we apply the proposed approach in a meta-analysis to identify risk factors of a severe course of COVID-19.
我们考虑对感兴趣的连续结局进行汇总数据的荟萃分析。当结局的分布呈偏态时,通常会出现一些主要研究报告结局的样本均值和标准差,而其他研究报告样本中位数以及第一和第三四分位数和/或最小值和最大值的情况。为了在这种情况下进行荟萃分析,最近已经开发了一些方法来根据报告中位数的研究推算样本均值和标准差。然后,基于(推算出的)特定研究的样本均值和标准差,应用具有逆方差加权的标准荟萃分析方法。在本文中,我们说明了这种常见做法如何严重低估研究内标准误,这导致固定效应荟萃分析中合并均值的覆盖范围较差,以及随机效应荟萃分析中研究间异质性的高估。我们提出了一种直接的自助法来估计推算出的样本均值的标准误。我们的模拟研究说明了所提出的方法如何能够改善研究内标准误的估计,从而改善固定效应荟萃分析中合并均值的覆盖范围以及随机效应荟萃分析中研究间异质性的估计。此外,我们在一项荟萃分析中应用所提出的方法来识别COVID-19重症病程的危险因素。