Akinsola Foluso A, Ologundudu Mojeed M, Akinsola Motunrayo O, Odhiambo Nicholas M
Department of Economics, University of Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria.
Department of Economics, Mountain Top University, Ogun, Nigeria.
Heliyon. 2022 Nov 2;8(11):e11299. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e11299. eCollection 2022 Nov.
This study evaluates the relationship between industrial development, urbanization and pollution emission in Africa. The IPAT identity was used to examine the impact of industrial development and urbanization on pollution emissions. The validity of the existence of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) and the Pollution Haven Hypothesis (PHH) was also tested by comparing the econometric results of panel Pool Mean Group (PMG)-based autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) for the period 1990-2019. The PMG results confirm the validity of the EKC and PHH in the countries under study in the long run when the entire panel was estimated. One of the major contributions of the study is to analyze the impact of urbanization and industrialization on carbon emissions. The results show that an increase in urbanization and industrialization leads to an increase in environmental degradation for the entire panel. This paper presents significant contributions to economic policy, showing that an association exists between industrial development, urbanization and pollution emission in Africa.
本研究评估了非洲工业发展、城市化与污染排放之间的关系。采用IPAT恒等式来考察工业发展和城市化对污染排放的影响。还通过比较1990 - 2019年基于面板均值组(PMG)的自回归分布滞后(ARDL)的计量经济学结果,检验了环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)和污染避难所假说(PHH)存在的有效性。PMG结果证实,从长期来看,当对整个面板进行估计时,EKC和PHH在所研究的国家中是有效的。该研究的主要贡献之一是分析城市化和工业化对碳排放的影响。结果表明,城市化和工业化的增加会导致整个面板的环境退化加剧。本文对经济政策做出了重大贡献,表明非洲的工业发展、城市化与污染排放之间存在关联。