Aoki Hirosato, Bitnun Ari, Kitano Taito
Department of Pediatrics, Nara Medical University, Kashihara, Nara, Japan.
Department of Neonatology, Kanagawa Children's Medical Center, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan.
J Med Virol. 2023 Jan;95(1):e28391. doi: 10.1002/jmv.28391.
Congenital cytomegalovirus infection is the most common congenital infection. Using a decision tree model, cost-effectiveness of maternal screening with subsequent prenatal valacyclovir treatment and newborn screening with neonatal valganciclovir treatment was evaluated. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated for (1) universal maternal antibody screening with prenatal valacyclovir treatment compared to targeted newborn screening, and (2) universal newborn screening with postnatal valganciclovir treatment compared to targeted newborn screening. We performed a one-way sensitivity analysis. Compared to targeted newborn screening, the ICERs for universal newborn screening and maternal screening were 2 966 296 Japanese Yen (JPY) (21 188 USD) and 1 026 984 JPY (7336 USD), respectively. In all scenarios in the one-way sensitivity analysis, the ICERs of the maternal screening and the universal newborn screening strategies were less than three gross domestic product per capita compared with the targeted newborn screening strategy. Both maternal and universal newborn screening strategies may be cost-effective than a targeted newborn screening program. The potential utility of the maternal screening with valacyclovir treatment strategy, while potentially cost effective in regions with lower baseline seroprevalence rates, requires further study as the modeling was based on limited evidence.
先天性巨细胞病毒感染是最常见的先天性感染。使用决策树模型,评估了孕妇筛查并随后进行产前伐昔洛韦治疗以及新生儿筛查并进行新生儿缬更昔洛韦治疗的成本效益。计算了以下两种情况的增量成本效益比(ICER):(1)与针对性新生儿筛查相比,进行产前伐昔洛韦治疗的普遍孕妇抗体筛查;(2)与针对性新生儿筛查相比,进行产后缬更昔洛韦治疗的普遍新生儿筛查。我们进行了单向敏感性分析。与针对性新生儿筛查相比,普遍新生儿筛查和孕妇筛查的ICER分别为2966296日元(21188美元)和1026984日元(7336美元)。在单向敏感性分析的所有情景中,与针对性新生儿筛查策略相比,孕妇筛查和普遍新生儿筛查策略的ICER均低于人均国内生产总值的三倍。孕妇筛查和普遍新生儿筛查策略可能都比针对性新生儿筛查计划更具成本效益。虽然在基线血清阳性率较低的地区,使用伐昔洛韦治疗策略进行孕妇筛查可能具有成本效益,但由于该模型基于有限的证据,因此需要进一步研究。