Xia Shiliang, Duan Jingjing
School of Economics and Management,Huaiyin Normal University, Huaian, 223001, China.
School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou, 221000, China.
Heliyon. 2022 Nov 30;8(12):e11823. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e11823. eCollection 2022 Dec.
Managerial overconfidence issues have attracted extant research interest given its influence on corporate strategy and operating performance with the growing development of modern behavioural economics. In this paper, bibliometric tools of VOSviewer and CiteSpace are used to reflect the research trend, hot spots and evolving route of managerial overconfidence theme. The publishing and citation numbers of managerial overconfidence paper are experiencing an overall increasing trend from 1992 to 2021. We sum up the top source journal, institutions, countries and the top 10 highly cited papers, and 272 keywords are distributed in the occurrence graph related to the theme of managerial overconfidence. Twelve keyword clusters from individual, organisational and social levels are identified. The research span is divided into four periods: preliminary, exploratory, growth and outbreak periods, and important research hot spots are summed up with highly cited keywords. The extant literature measurement and variables of managerial overconfidence are summarised in four types, and the integrated research frame of managerial overconfidence is proposed. Future research expansion of managerial overconfidence can be carried out from five aspects of harmony classification, improved measurement, multivariate test, positive paradigm and cultural distinction.
鉴于现代行为经济学的不断发展,管理过度自信问题因其对公司战略和经营业绩的影响而吸引了现有研究的关注。本文运用VOSviewer和CiteSpace等文献计量工具来反映管理过度自信主题的研究趋势、热点及演进路径。1992年至2021年期间,管理过度自信相关论文的发表量和被引次数总体呈上升趋势。我们总结了顶级来源期刊、机构、国家以及前10篇高被引论文,272个关键词分布在与管理过度自信主题相关的共现图谱中。从个人、组织和社会层面识别出12个关键词聚类。研究跨度分为四个时期:初步、探索、增长和爆发期,并通过高被引关键词总结出重要研究热点。管理过度自信的现有文献测度和变量归纳为四种类型,并提出了管理过度自信的综合研究框架。管理过度自信未来的研究拓展可从和谐分类、改进测度、多变量检验、积极范式和文化区分五个方面展开。