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气候变化对拉各斯州粮食作物生产的影响。

The Effect of Climate Change on Food Crop Production in Lagos State.

作者信息

Tajudeen Tawakalitu Titilayo, Omotayo Ayo, Ogundele Fatai Olakunle, Rathbun Leah C

机构信息

Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695, USA.

Department of Geography and Planning, Lagos State University, Ojo, Lagos PMB 0001, Nigeria.

出版信息

Foods. 2022 Dec 9;11(24):3987. doi: 10.3390/foods11243987.

Abstract

Climate change is set to be particularly disruptive in poor agricultural communities. This study examines the effects of, and farmer's perceptions of, climate change on farming practices for cassava and maize in Lagos, Nigeria. Analysis of weather data from 1998 to 2018 (the most recent available) reveals little impact on cassava yield but a significant impact on maize yield. Furthermore, survey results indicate that farmers in this area are currently implementing techniques to adapt to changes in climate based on the type of crop grown. Agriculture in Lagos, Nigeria, is largely rain-fed and climate change negatively impacts crop productivity by decreasing crop yield and soil fertility, limiting the availability of soil water, increasing soil erosion, and contributing to the spread of pests. A decline in crop production due to climate change may be further exasperated by a lack of access to farming technology that reduces over-reliance on the rain-fed farming system and subsistence agriculture. This study indicates that there is a need for initiatives to motivate young and older farmers through access to credits, irrigation facilities, and innovative climate change adaptive strategies.

摘要

气候变化预计将对贫困农业社区造成特别大的破坏。本研究考察了气候变化对尼日利亚拉各斯木薯和玉米种植方式的影响以及农民对气候变化的认知。对1998年至2018年(可获取的最新数据)天气数据的分析显示,气候变化对木薯产量影响不大,但对玉米产量有显著影响。此外,调查结果表明,该地区的农民目前正在根据种植作物的类型采用一些技术来适应气候变化。尼日利亚拉各斯的农业主要依赖雨水灌溉,气候变化通过降低作物产量和土壤肥力、限制土壤水分供应、加剧土壤侵蚀以及促使害虫蔓延等方式,对作物生产力产生负面影响。由于缺乏能够减少对雨水灌溉耕作系统和自给农业过度依赖的农业技术,气候变化导致的作物减产情况可能会进一步恶化。本研究表明,有必要通过提供信贷、灌溉设施以及创新的气候变化适应策略等举措,激励年轻和年长的农民。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/54f1/9778574/8656e151808d/foods-11-03987-g001.jpg

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