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基于熵权物元可拓模型的进口冷链物流风险评估——以上海为例。

Risk Assessment of Import Cold Chain Logistics Based on Entropy Weight Matter Element Extension Model: A Case Study of Shanghai, China.

机构信息

College of Transport and Communications, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 201306, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Dec 15;19(24):16892. doi: 10.3390/ijerph192416892.

Abstract

The development of world trade and fresh-keeping technology has led to the rapid development of international cold chain logistics. However, the novel coronavirus epidemic continues to spread around the world at the present stage, which challenges disease transmission control and safety supervision of international cold chain logistics. Constructing an Import Cold Chain Logistics Safety Supervision System (ICCL-SSS) is helpful for detecting and controlling disease import risk. This paper constructs an evaluation index system of ICCL safety that comprehensively considers the potential risk factors of three ICCL processes: the logistics process in port, the customs clearance process, and the logistics process from port to door. The risk level of ICCL-SSS is evaluated by combining the Extension Decision-making Model and the Entropy Weight Method. The case study of Shanghai, China, the world's largest city of ICCL, shows that the overall risk level of ICCL-SSS in Shanghai is at a moderate level. However, the processes of loading and unloading, inspection and quarantine, disinfection and sterilization, and cargo storage are at high risk specifically. The construction and risk assessment of ICCL-SSS can provide theoretical support and practical guidance for improving the safety supervision ability of ICCL regulation in the post-epidemic era, and helps the local government to scientifically formulate ICCL safety administration policies and accelerate the development of world cold chain trade.

摘要

随着世界贸易和保鲜技术的发展,国际冷链物流得到了迅猛发展。但现阶段,新型冠状病毒疫情在全球范围内仍在持续蔓延,对国际冷链物流的疫病传播防控和安全监管带来了挑战。构建进口冷链物流安全监管系统(ICCL-SSS)有助于对疫病输入风险进行检测和控制。本文综合考虑冷链物流港口物流过程、海关清关过程和港口到门物流过程的潜在风险因素,构建了冷链安全评价指标体系。采用可拓决策模型和熵权法对 ICCL-SSS 的风险水平进行了评估。以上海为例进行实证研究,结果表明上海的 ICCL-SSS 整体风险水平处于中等偏上水平,但装卸、检验检疫、消毒灭菌、货物储存等过程风险较高。构建 ICCL-SSS 并对其进行风险评估,可为后疫情时代提高冷链物流监管安全性提供理论支撑和实践指导,有助于地方政府科学制定冷链安全管理政策,促进世界冷链贸易的发展。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0850/9779716/0affce83227c/ijerph-19-16892-g001.jpg

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