Universidad de Valparaíso, Chile.
Universidad de La Frontera, Chile.
Environ Pollut. 2023 Apr 1;322:120961. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2022.120961. Epub 2023 Jan 5.
There are several determinants of a population's health, including meteorological factors and air pollution. For example, it is well known that low temperatures and air pollution increase mortality rates in infant and elderly populations. With the emergence of SARS-COV-2, it is important to understand what factors contribute to its mitigation and control. There is some research in this area which shows scientific evidence on the virus's behavior in the face of these variables. This research aims to quantify the impact of climatic factors and environmental pollution on SARS-COV-2 specifically the effect on the number of new infections in different areas of Chile. At the local level, historical information available from the Department of Statistics and Health Information, the Chilean National Air Quality Information System, the Chilean Meteorological Directorate, and other databases will allow the generation of panel data suitable for the analysis. The results show the significant effect of pollution and climate variables measured in lags and will allow us to explain the behavior of the pandemic by identifying the relevant factors affecting health, using heteroskedastic models, which in turn will serve as a contribution to the generation of more effective and timely public policies for the control of the pandemic.
有几个因素决定了一个人群的健康状况,包括气象因素和空气污染。例如,众所周知,低温和空气污染会增加婴儿和老年人群的死亡率。随着 SARS-COV-2 的出现,了解哪些因素有助于其缓解和控制非常重要。这方面有一些研究表明了在这些变量面前病毒行为的科学证据。本研究旨在量化气候因素和环境污染对 SARS-COV-2 的影响,特别是对智利不同地区新感染数量的影响。在地方层面,可从统计局和卫生信息处、智利国家空气质量信息系统、智利气象局和其他数据库获得历史信息,这将有助于生成适合分析的面板数据。结果表明,滞后测量的污染和气候变量具有显著影响,使用异方差模型可以解释大流行的行为,从而确定影响健康的相关因素,这反过来又将有助于制定更有效和及时的公共政策来控制大流行。