Increased precipitation leads to earlier green-up and later senescence in Tibetan alpine grassland regardless of warming.

It is debatable whether warming or increased precipitation primarily drives the changes of spring and autumn phenology in alpine grasslands at high elevations like the Tibetan Plateau. We aim to test the hypothesis that increased precipitation and soil moisture rather than warming significantly advance spring green-up dates (GUD) of dominant species in a semiarid alpine grassland, while both increases of temperature and precipitation delay their autumn senescence dates (SD). We conducted a 2-year manipulative experiment with infrared warming (ambient, +2 °C) and precipitation increase for each of rainfall events (ambient, +15 %, +30 %) during the growing season in a Tibetan alpine grassland. GUD and SD of three dominant species and the relevant soil temperature (ST) and moisture (SM) were observed. Rainy season onset as well as Pre-GUD or Pre-SD (30 days before GUD or SD) mean air-temperature (T) and precipitation (P) and relevant soil temperature (ST) and moisture (SM) were calculated for each experimental treatment. GUD dates of the three dominant species were advanced by increased precipitation rather than by warming, which showed a robust positive correlation with rainy season onset. SD dates were independently delayed by both increases of temperature and precipitation. There was no interactive effect of warming and increased precipitation on GUD and SD across species and years. In general, GUD had a significant negative correlation with Pre-GUD P (SM) but not with Pre-GUD T (ST), while SD showed a significant positive correlation with Pre-SD T and P or Pre-SD ST and SM. Our data support the hypothesis, indicating that spring and autumn phenology of monsoon-adapted alpine vegetation are more sensitive to precipitation change than to warming. The prolonged growing season length under increased temperature and precipitation is more depended on the delay of autumn senescence than the advance of spring green-up.