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中国多中心回顾性队列研究:老年与年轻维持性血液透析患者的死亡率及相关危险因素。

Mortality and associated risk factors between young and elderly maintenance haemodialysis patients: a multicentre retrospective cohort study in China.

机构信息

Nephrology, First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, China.

Nephrology, Dalian Renal Care Hospital, Dalian, Liaoning, China.

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2023 Feb 6;13(2):e066675. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-066675.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Mortality and associated risk factors in young and elderly haemodialysis patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) have not been well examined in China. Therefore, we aimed to assess the all-cause mortality and risk factors associated with all-cause mortality between young and elderly haemodialysis patients in China.

DESIGN

A population-based multicentre retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Using the Dialysis Initiation based on Fuzzy mathematics Equation study data, patients with ESKD undergoing maintenance haemodialysis from 24 centres in China from 1 January 2008 to 30 September 2015.

PARTICIPANTS

1601 enrolled patients with ESKD were categorised into young group (18-44 years old) and elderly (≥60 years old) group.

OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. We estimated overall survival using a log-rank test. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was implemented to identify risk factors and HR associated all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 48.17±25.59 months, of the 1601 subjects, 319 (19.92%) patients death, including 64 (9.97%) in young group and 255 (26.59%) in elderly group, respectively. The cumulative survival in elderly group was lower than young group (Log Rank tests=63.31, p<0.001). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed the cardiovascular disease (HR, 2.393; 95% CI 1.532 to 3.735; p<0.001), cerebrovascular disease (HR, 2.542; 95% CI 1.364 to 4.739; p=0.003) and serum albumin<3.5 g/dL (HR, 1.725; 95% CI 1.091 to 2.726; p=0.020) at the haemodialysis initiation were associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in elderly groups; however, the cardiovascular disease only was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in young groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The all-cause mortality of elderly haemodialysis patients were higher than young haemodialysis patients in China. Identified risk factors associated all-cause mortality may inform development of age-appropriate treatment, intervention strategies and improve survival prognosis of this unique population.

摘要

目的

在中国,终末期肾病(ESKD)的年轻和老年血液透析患者的死亡率及其相关危险因素尚未得到充分研究。因此,我们旨在评估中国年轻和老年血液透析患者的全因死亡率以及与全因死亡率相关的危险因素。

设计

一项基于人群的多中心回顾性队列研究。

地点

利用基于模糊数学方程的透析起始研究数据,来自中国 24 个中心的 2008 年 1 月 1 日至 2015 年 9 月 30 日期间接受维持性血液透析的 ESKD 患者。

参与者

将 1601 名纳入的 ESKD 患者分为年轻组(18-44 岁)和老年组(≥60 岁)。

主要结局

主要结局为全因死亡率。我们使用对数秩检验估计总生存率。实施 Cox 比例风险回归分析以确定全因死亡率的相关风险因素和 HR。

结果

在平均 48.17±25.59 个月的随访期间,1601 名受试者中,319 名(19.92%)患者死亡,其中年轻组 64 名(9.97%),老年组 255 名(26.59%)。老年组的累积生存率低于年轻组(Log Rank 检验=63.31,p<0.001)。多变量 Cox 比例风险分析显示心血管疾病(HR,2.393;95%CI 1.532 至 3.735;p<0.001)、脑血管疾病(HR,2.542;95%CI 1.364 至 4.739;p=0.003)和透析开始时血清白蛋白<3.5 g/dL(HR,1.725;95%CI 1.091 至 2.726;p=0.020)与老年组的全因死亡率增加相关;然而,心血管疾病仅与年轻组的全因死亡率增加相关。

结论

在中国,老年血液透析患者的全因死亡率高于年轻血液透析患者。确定的全因死亡率相关危险因素可能为制定适合年龄的治疗、干预策略提供信息,并改善这一独特人群的生存预后。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9dac/9906252/84e3c0071934/bmjopen-2022-066675f01.jpg

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