Chen Ming, Yao Tongsheng, Wang Ke
Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China.
School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Apr;30(16):47935-47955. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-25721-2. Epub 2023 Feb 7.
Climate change has been a widely concerned issue for decades. As the key policy target, the economic impact caused by climate change has received general attention from scholars and governments around the world. For the number of literatures is huge and the relationships among the literatures are not clear, we aim to clarify the research hotpots and the research trends of current literatures and provide inspiration for the development directions of future research in this paper. Using the bibliometric method, this paper characterizes the literatures on the economic impact of climate change based on the Web of Science (WoS) Core Collection. The results reveal that the USA occupies the leading position of the studies, which publishes most documents, and contains the most productive institutes and well-known scholars. From 2009, the number of documents published by a Chinese scholar started to increase rapidly, which makes China the second most productive country in recent years. The journals both belong to the WoS Categories of economics and environmental sciences and tend to publish more literatures than others. Adaptation, vulnerability, uncertainty, economic growth, climate policy, ecosystem service, energy consumption, renewable energy, food security, and land use are the representative keywords that have both high frequency and high centrality. Potential benefits, fat-tailed risk, social cost, international migration, and sustainable intensification are the top five main research hotspots. Based on the citation network of the top 50 documents with the highest local citation score, four research trends are sorted out: (i) the methodological innovation to monetized estimate the economic impact of climate change, (ii) the effect of current and future adaptive measures on agriculture, (iii) the interactional relationship between induced technological change and carbon tax, and (iv) the effect on labor market caused by climate change.
几十年来，气候变化一直是一个广受关注的问题。作为关键政策目标，气候变化所造成的经济影响受到了全球学者和政府的普遍关注。鉴于相关文献数量庞大且文献之间的关系尚不明确，本文旨在厘清当前文献的研究热点和研究趋势，并为未来研究的发展方向提供启示。本文运用文献计量学方法，基于科学网（WoS）核心合集对气候变化经济影响方面的文献进行特征分析。结果显示，美国在该领域研究中占据领先地位，发表的文献最多，且拥有最多产的机构和知名学者。自2009年起，中国学者发表的文献数量开始迅速增加，使得中国近年来成为第二大高产国家。相关期刊既属于WoS经济学和环境科学类别，且往往比其他期刊发表更多文献。适应、脆弱性、不确定性、经济增长、气候政策、生态系统服务、能源消耗、可再生能源、粮食安全和土地利用是具有高频率和高中心性的代表性关键词。潜在收益、厚尾风险、社会成本、国际移民和可持续集约化是五大主要研究热点。基于本地被引频次最高的50篇文献的引文网络，梳理出四个研究趋势：（i）对气候变化经济影响进行货币化估计的方法创新；（ii）当前和未来适应性措施对农业的影响；（iii）诱导性技术变革与碳税之间的相互关系；（iv）气候变化对劳动力市场的影响。
