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美国癌症相对生存率的年龄差异:一项监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)-18分析。

Age-related differences in cancer relative survival in the United States: A SEER-18 analysis.

作者信息

Withrow Diana R, Nicholson Brian D, Morris Eva J A, Wong Melisa L, Pilleron Sophie

机构信息

Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Nuffield Department of Population Health, Big Data Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

出版信息

Int J Cancer. 2023 Jun 1;152(11):2283-2291. doi: 10.1002/ijc.34463. Epub 2023 Feb 23.

Abstract

Cancer survival has improved since the 1990s, but to different extents across age groups, with a disadvantage for older adults. We aimed to quantify age-related differences in relative survival (RS-1-year and 1-year conditioning on surviving 1 year) for 10 common cancer types by stage at diagnosis. We used data from 18 United States Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results cancer registries and included cancers diagnosed in 2012 to 2016 followed until December 31, 2017. We estimated absolute differences in RS between the 50 to 64 age group and the 75 to 84 age group. The smallest differences were observed for prostate and breast cancers (1.8%-points [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.5-2.1] and 1.9%-points [95% CI: 1.5-2.3], respectively). The largest was for ovarian cancer (27%-points, 95% CI: 24-29). For other cancers, differences ranged between 7 (95% CI: 5-9, esophagus) and 18%-points (95% CI: 17-19, pancreas). Except for pancreatic cancer, cancer type and stage combinations with very high (>95%) or very low (<40%) 1-year RS tended to have smaller age-related differences in survival than those with mid-range prognoses. Age-related differences in 1-year survival conditioning on having survived 1-year were small for most cancer and stage combinations. The broad variation in survival differences by age across cancer types and stages, especially in the first year, age-related differences in survival are likely influenced by amenability to treatment. Future work to measure the extent of age-related differences that are avoidable, and identify how to narrow the survival gap, may have most benefit by prioritizing cancers with relatively large age-related differences in survival (eg, stomach, esophagus, liver and pancreas).

摘要

自20世纪90年代以来,癌症生存率有所提高,但不同年龄组的提高程度不同,老年人处于劣势。我们旨在通过诊断阶段对10种常见癌症类型的相对生存率(RS - 1年以及存活1年后的1年生存率)的年龄相关差异进行量化。我们使用了来自美国18个监测、流行病学和最终结果癌症登记处的数据,纳入了2012年至2016年诊断的癌症病例,并随访至2017年12月31日。我们估计了50至64岁年龄组与75至84岁年龄组之间RS的绝对差异。前列腺癌和乳腺癌的差异最小(分别为1.8个百分点[95%置信区间(CI):1.5 - 2.1]和1.9个百分点[95% CI:1.5 - 2.3])。卵巢癌的差异最大(27个百分点,95% CI:24 - 29)。对于其他癌症,差异在7个百分点(95% CI:5 - 9,食管癌)至18个百分点(95% CI:17 - 19,胰腺癌)之间。除胰腺癌外,1年RS非常高(>95%)或非常低(<40%)的癌症类型和阶段组合,其生存的年龄相关差异往往比预后中等的组合更小。对于大多数癌症和阶段组合,在存活1年后的1年生存率的年龄相关差异较小。不同癌症类型和阶段的生存差异在年龄上存在广泛变化,尤其是在第一年,生存的年龄相关差异可能受治疗可及性的影响。未来的工作是衡量可避免的年龄相关差异的程度,并确定如何缩小生存差距,优先关注生存年龄相关差异相对较大的癌症(如胃癌、食管癌、肝癌和胰腺癌)可能会带来最大益处。

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