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理解埃塞俄比亚儿童消瘦问题:利用广义线性潜变量和混合模型对 2019 年埃塞俄比亚人口与健康调查数据进行横断面分析。

Understanding Child Wasting in Ethiopia: Cross-sectional Analysis of 2019 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey Data Using Generalized Linear Latent and Mixed Models.

机构信息

Department of Health Informatics, School of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Arba Minch University, Arba Minch, Southern Nation Nationalities Peoples' Region, Ethiopia.

Department of Public Health, School of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Arba Minch University, Arba Minch, Southern Nation Nationalities Peoples' Region, Ethiopia.

出版信息

JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2023 Feb 8;9:e39744. doi: 10.2196/39744.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Wasting is an immediate, visible, and life-threatening form of undernutrition in children aged <5 years. Within a short time, wasting causes recurrent sickness, delayed physical and mental growth, impatience, poor feeding, and low body weight. The long-term consequences of wasting and undernutrition are stunting, inability to learn, poor health status, and poor work performance. Wasting remains a public health problem in Ethiopia. According to the World Health Organization, countries have to reduce undernutrition including child wasting to below 5% by 2025. Ethiopia is attempting to attain national and international targets of undernutrition while struggling with many problems.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to identify the prevalence and associated factors of wasting to provide information for further renewing policy commitments.

METHODS

We used community-based, cross-sectional data from the Ethiopian Mini Demographic and Health Survey. The survey was conducted in 9 regions and 2 city administrations. Two-stage cluster sampling was used to recruit study participants. In the first stage, enumerations areas were selected, and 28-35 households per enumeration area were selected in the second stage. Our analysis included 2016 women with children aged <5 years from the 2019 EMDHS data set. We dropped incomplete records and included all women who fulfilled the eligibility criteria. We used multilevel ordinal regression using Generalized Linear Latent and Mixed Models (GLLAMM) and predicted probability with log-likelihood ratio tests. Fulfilling the proportional odds model's assumption during the application of multilevel ordinary logistic regression was a cumbersome task. GLLAMM enabled us to perform the multilevel proportional odds model using an alternative method.

RESULTS

In our analysis, wasting was 7.68% (95% CI 6.56%-8.93%). Around 26.82% of mothers never used antenatal care for their current child. Most mothers (52.2%) did not have formal education, and 86.8% did not have postnatal care for their children. Additionally, half (50.93%) of the mothers have ≥6 household members. Wasting was associated with feeding diverse foods (coefficient 4.90, 95% CI 4.90-4.98), female sex of the household head (-40.40, 95% CI -40.41 to -40.32), home delivery (-35.51, 95% CI -35.55 to -35.47), first (16.66, 95% CI, 16.60-16.72) and second (16.65, 95% CI 16.60-16.70) birth order, female child (-12.65, 95% CI -12.69 to -12.62), and household size of 1 to 3 (10.86, 95% CI 10.80-10.92).

CONCLUSIONS

According to the target set by World Health Organization for reducing undernutrition in children aged <5 years to below 5% by 2025, child wasting of 7.68% in Ethiopia should spark an immediate reaction from the government and stakeholders. Informed policy decisions, technology-based child-feeding education, and food self-sufficiency support could improve the current challenges. Additional effort is important to improve low maternal education, family planning, awareness of sex preferences, women empowerment, and maternal health services.

摘要

背景

消瘦是 5 岁以下儿童中一种即刻可见且危及生命的营养不良形式。在短时间内,消瘦会导致反复患病、身体和智力发育迟缓、烦躁、喂养不良和体重下降。消瘦和营养不良的长期后果是发育迟缓、无法学习、健康状况不佳和工作表现不佳。消瘦仍然是埃塞俄比亚的一个公共卫生问题。根据世界卫生组织的数据,各国必须在 2025 年之前将包括儿童消瘦在内的营养不良率降低到 5%以下。埃塞俄比亚在努力应对许多问题的同时,也在努力实现国家和国际的减贫目标。

目的

本研究旨在确定消瘦的流行率和相关因素,为进一步更新政策承诺提供信息。

方法

我们使用了基于社区的埃塞俄比亚微型人口与健康调查的横断面数据。该调查在 9 个地区和 2 个城市行政区进行。采用两阶段聚类抽样方法招募研究参与者。在第一阶段,选择了普查区,在第二阶段,每个普查区选择了 28-35 户家庭。我们的分析包括 2019 年 EMDHS 数据集 2016 名年龄小于 5 岁的儿童的母亲。我们剔除了不完整的记录,并纳入了所有符合资格标准的妇女。我们使用广义线性潜在和混合模型(GLLAMM)进行多水平有序回归,并使用对数似然比检验进行预测概率。在应用多水平普通逻辑回归时,满足比例优势模型的假设是一项繁琐的任务。GLLAMM 使我们能够使用替代方法执行多水平比例优势模型。

结果

在我们的分析中,消瘦的比例为 7.68%(95%CI 6.56%-8.93%)。大约 26.82%的母亲从未为当前的孩子进行过产前护理。大多数母亲(52.2%)没有接受过正规教育,86.8%没有为孩子提供产后护理。此外,一半(50.93%)的母亲有≥6 名家庭成员。消瘦与多样化的食物喂养(系数 4.90,95%CI 4.90-4.98)、户主为女性(-40.40,95%CI -40.41 至 -40.32)、家庭分娩(-35.51,95%CI -35.55 至 -35.47)、第一(16.66,95%CI,16.60-16.72)和第二(16.65,95%CI 16.60-16.70)出生顺序、女婴(-12.65,95%CI -12.69 至 -12.62)和家庭规模为 1 至 3(10.86,95%CI 10.80-10.92)有关。

结论

根据世界卫生组织到 2025 年将 5 岁以下儿童消瘦率降低到 5%以下的目标,埃塞俄比亚 7.68%的儿童消瘦率应该立即引起政府和利益相关者的反应。基于证据的政策决策、基于技术的儿童喂养教育和粮食自给自足支持可以改善当前的挑战。需要进一步努力提高母亲教育水平低、计划生育、性别偏好意识、妇女赋权和孕产妇保健服务。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d436/9947770/4a24bec94fdb/publichealth_v9i1e39744_fig1.jpg

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