Valencia Eleonore, Staffa Steven J, Aslam Yousuf, Faraoni David, DiNardo James A, Rangel Shawn J, Nasr Viviane G
From the Departments of Cardiology.
Anesthesiology, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Anesth Analg. 2023 Apr 1;136(4):738-744. doi: 10.1213/ANE.0000000000006300. Epub 2023 Feb 10.
Although the rate of pediatric postoperative mortality is low, the development and validation of perioperative risk assessment models have allowed for the stratification of those at highest risk, including the Pediatric Risk Assessment (PRAm) score. The clinical application of such tools requires manual data entry, which may be inaccurate or incomplete, compromise efficiency, and increase physicians' clerical obligations. We aimed to create an electronically derived, automated PRAm score and to evaluate its agreement with the original American College of Surgery National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP)-derived and validated score.
We performed a retrospective observational study of children <18 years who underwent noncardiac surgery from 2017 through 2021 at Boston Children's Hospital (BCH). An automated PRAm score was developed via electronic derivation of International Classification of Disease (ICD) -9 and -10 codes. The primary outcome was agreement and correlation among PRAm scores obtained via automation, NSQIP data, and manual physician entry from the same BCH cohort. The secondary outcome was discriminatory ability of the 3 PRAm versions. Fleiss Kappa, Spearman correlation (rho), and intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses with area under the curve (AUC) were applied accordingly.
Of the 6014 patients with NSQIP and automated PRAm scores (manual scores: n = 5267), the rate of 30-day mortality was 0.18% (n = 11). Agreement and correlation were greater between the NSQIP and automated scores (rho = 0.78; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.76-0.79; P <.001; ICC = 0.80; 95% CI, 0.79-0.81; Fleiss kappa = 0.66; 95% CI, 0.65-0.67) versus the NSQIP and manual scores (rho = 0.73; 95% CI, 0.71-0.74; P < .001; ICC = 0.78; 95% CI, 0.77-0.79; Fleiss kappa = 0.56; 95% CI, 0.54-0.57). ROC analysis with AUC showed the manual score to have the greatest discrimination (AUC = 0.976; 95% CI, 0.959,0.993) compared to the NSQIP (AUC = 0.904; 95% CI, 0.792-0.999) and automated (AUC = 0.880; 95% CI, 0.769-0.999) scores.
Development of an electronically derived, automated PRAm score that maintains good discrimination for 30-day mortality in neonates, infants, and children after noncardiac surgery is feasible. The automated PRAm score may reduce the preoperative clerical workload and provide an efficient and accurate means by which to risk stratify neonatal and pediatric surgical patients with the goal of improving clinical outcomes and resource utilization.
尽管小儿术后死亡率较低,但围手术期风险评估模型的开发和验证有助于对高危人群进行分层,包括小儿风险评估(PRAm)评分。此类工具的临床应用需要手动输入数据,这可能不准确或不完整,影响效率,并增加医生的文书工作负担。我们旨在创建一个电子衍生的自动化PRAm评分,并评估其与最初由美国外科医师学会国家外科质量改进计划(ACS NSQIP)得出并验证的评分的一致性。
我们对2017年至2021年在波士顿儿童医院(BCH)接受非心脏手术的18岁以下儿童进行了一项回顾性观察研究。通过对国际疾病分类(ICD)-9和-10编码进行电子衍生来开发自动化PRAm评分。主要结果是通过自动化、NSQIP数据以及来自同一BCH队列的医生手动输入获得的PRAm评分之间的一致性和相关性。次要结果是三种PRAm版本的鉴别能力。相应地应用了Fleiss Kappa、Spearman相关性(rho)、组内相关系数(ICC)以及带有曲线下面积(AUC)的受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线分析。
在6014例有NSQIP和自动化PRAm评分的患者中(手动评分:n = 5267),30天死亡率为0.18%(n = 11)。NSQIP与自动化评分之间的一致性和相关性更高(rho = 0.78;95%置信区间[CI],0.76 - 0.79;P <.001;ICC = 0.80;95% CI,0.79 - 0.81;Fleiss kappa = 0.66;95% CI,0.65 - 0.67),而NSQIP与手动评分之间的一致性和相关性为(rho = 0.73;95% CI,0.71 - 0.74;P <.001;ICC = 0.78;95% CI,0.77 - 0.79;Fleiss kappa = 0.56;95% CI,0.54 - 0.57)。AUC的ROC分析显示,与NSQIP(AUC = 0.904;95% CI,0.792 - 0.999)和自动化(AUC = 0.880;95% CI,0.769 - 0.999)评分相比,手动评分的鉴别能力最强(AUC = 0.976;95% CI,0.959,0.993)。
开发一种电子衍生的自动化PRAm评分是可行的,该评分在非心脏手术后的新生儿、婴儿和儿童30天死亡率方面保持良好的鉴别能力。自动化PRAm评分可能会减少术前文书工作负担,并提供一种高效准确的方法,用于对新生儿和小儿外科患者进行风险分层,以改善临床结局和资源利用。