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探究居住和工作场所建成环境对短距离内积极出行的非线性影响:随机森林方法。

Examining the Nonlinear Effects of Residential and Workplace-built Environments on Active Travel in Short-Distance: A Random Forest Approach.

机构信息

School of Architecture & Urban Planning, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430000, China.

The Key Laboratory of Urban Simulation for Ministry of Natural Resources, Wuhan 430000, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Jan 20;20(3):1969. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20031969.

Abstract

Environmental pollution and health problems caused by the excessive use of motor vehicles have received widespread attention from all over the world. Currently, research lacks attention to the nonlinear effects of the built environment on short-distance active travel choices. It is important to understand these non-linear correlations, because it would be more feasible and necessary to promote a shift from car users to walking and cycling mode choices over short commuting distances. A random forest model was used to analyze the nonlinear effects of residents' social characteristics and the built environment of their homes and workplaces on their choice of walking and cycling. The results show that the built environment has a greater impact on short-distance active travel than the socio-demographics attributes. Residential and workplace-built environments have equal importance and they have significant non-linear effects on both short-distance walking and cycling. The nonlinear effects of the built environment on walking and cycling differed significantly, and the study specifically revealed these effects.

摘要

机动车的过度使用所造成的环境污染和健康问题已经引起了全世界的广泛关注。目前,研究还没有关注到建成环境对短距离主动出行选择的非线性影响。了解这些非线性关系非常重要,因为对于短距离通勤来说,推动人们从选择开车出行转变为选择步行或骑行出行模式更加可行且必要。本研究使用随机森林模型分析了居民的社会特征以及家庭和工作场所建成环境对他们选择步行和骑行的非线性影响。结果表明,建成环境对短距离主动出行的影响大于社会人口统计属性。居住和工作场所建成环境同等重要,它们对短距离步行和骑行都有显著的非线性影响。建成环境对步行和骑行的非线性影响有显著差异,本研究特别揭示了这些影响。

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