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血小板计数作为乙型肝炎病毒相关慢加急性肝衰竭患者血浆置换后的预测标志物

PLT Counts as a Predictive Marker after Plasma Exchange in Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure.

作者信息

Li Xue, Li Hao, Zhu Yucui, Xu Huaqian, Tang Shanhong

机构信息

Department of Gastroenterology, The General Hospital of Western Theater Command, Chengdu 610083, China.

Clinic, The General Hospital of Western Theater Command, Chengdu 610083, China.

出版信息

J Clin Med. 2023 Jan 20;12(3):851. doi: 10.3390/jcm12030851.

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The platelet (PLT) value in hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is not sufficiently understood. The present study aimed to evaluate the prognostic effect of PLT on the prediction of HBV-ACLF outcomes after plasma exchange (PE).

METHODS

HBV-ACLF patients treated with PE between January 2017 and August 2021 were followed up for at least 6 months. Cox regression was performed to develop the predictive model, and the model's performance was analyzed using the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC).

RESULTS

A total of 170 patients were included. The overall survival rate within 180 days was 75.88%. Age, PLT, total bilirubin (TBil), and the iMELD scores were independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients after PE. According to the Cox regression results, the new model was calculated: R = 0.142 × iMELD-0.009 × PLT. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was 0.758 (95% CI 0.678-0.838), and patients with lower PLT-iMELD scores (<4.50) had a better prognosis ( < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

PLT is a valuable prognostic biomarker for HBV-ACLF patients after PE. The modified iMELD model incorporating PLT has a better sensitivity and efficacy in predicting the prognosis of patients.

摘要

背景与目的

乙型肝炎相关慢加急性肝衰竭(HBV-ACLF)患者的血小板(PLT)值尚未得到充分了解。本研究旨在评估PLT对血浆置换(PE)后HBV-ACLF患者预后预测的影响。

方法

对2017年1月至2021年8月期间接受PE治疗的HBV-ACLF患者进行至少6个月的随访。采用Cox回归建立预测模型,并使用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)分析模型性能。

结果

共纳入170例患者。180天内的总生存率为75.88%。年龄、PLT、总胆红素(TBil)和iMELD评分是影响PE后HBV-ACLF患者预后的独立危险因素。根据Cox回归结果,计算出新模型:R = 0.142×iMELD - 0.009×PLT。受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.758(95%CI 0.678 - 0.838),PLT-iMELD评分较低(<4.50)的患者预后较好(<0.001)。

结论

PLT是PE后HBV-ACLF患者有价值的预后生物标志物。纳入PLT的改良iMELD模型在预测患者预后方面具有更好的敏感性和有效性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/45fb/9917441/70d92eeac34e/jcm-12-00851-g001.jpg

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