Research Centre on Public Health (CESP), University of Milano-Bicocca, Monza, Italy.
Hepatology and Gastroenterology Unit, ASST GOM Niguarda, Milan, Italy.
Transpl Int. 2023 Jan 30;36:10954. doi: 10.3389/ti.2023.10954. eCollection 2023.
The European Liver and Intestine Transplant Association, ELITA, promoted a Consensus Conference involving 20 experts across the world which generated updated guidelines on HBV prophylaxis in liver transplant candidates and recipients. This study explores the economic impact associated with the implementation of the new ELITA guidelines. To this aim, a condition-specific cohort simulation model has been developed to compare new and historical prophylaxis, including only pharmaceutical cost and using the European perspective. The target population simulated in the model included both prevalent and incident cases, and consisted of 6,133 patients after the first year, that increased to 7,442 and 8,743 patents after 5 and 10 years from its implementation. The ELITA protocols allowed a cost saving of around € 235.65 million after 5 years and € 540.73 million after 10 years; which was mainly due to early HIBG withdrawal either after the first 4 weeks or after the first year post Liver Transplantation (LT) depending on the virological risk at transplantation. Results were confirmed by sensitivity analyses. The money saved by the implementation of the ELITA guidelines would allow healthcare decision makers and budget holders to understand where costs could be reduced and resources re-allocated to different needs.
欧洲肝脏和肠道移植协会(ELITA)组织了一次涉及全球 20 名专家的共识会议,会上制定了更新的乙型肝炎病毒预防指南,适用于肝移植候选者和受者。本研究探讨了实施新的 ELITA 指南所带来的经济影响。为此,开发了一种特定于疾病的队列模拟模型,用于比较新的和历史的预防方案,包括仅考虑药物成本,并采用欧洲视角。模型中模拟的目标人群包括现患和新发病例,第一年有 6133 名患者,实施后 5 年和 10 年分别增加到 7442 名和 8743 名。ELITA 方案在 5 年后可节省约 2.3565 亿欧元,在 10 年后可节省 5.4073 亿欧元;这主要是由于根据移植时的病毒学风险,在第 4 周或肝移植后第 1 年提前停用 HIBG。敏感性分析结果证实了这一结果。实施 ELITA 指南所节省的资金,将使医疗保健决策者和预算承担者能够了解在哪里可以降低成本,并将资源重新分配到不同的需求上。