Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery and Maxillofacial Surgery, Tel-Aviv Sourasky Medical Center (Affiliated to the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University), Tel-Aviv, Israel.
Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel.
Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg. 2023 Aug;169(2):309-316. doi: 10.1002/ohn.298. Epub 2023 Feb 17.
To revisit the current age criterion (50 years) for surgical candidacy in patients diagnosed with asymptomatic primary hyperparathyroidism (PHPT).
A predictive model relying on past publications using the electronic databases "PubMed," "Embase," "Medline," and "Google Scholar."
Hypothetical large cohort.
A Markov model was constructed, based on relevant literature, to compare 2 potential treatment algorithms for asymptomatic PHPT patients, parathyroidectomy (PTX), and observation. The various potential health states were characterized for the 2 treatment options and included potential surgical complications, end-organ deterioration, and death. A 1-way sensitivity analysis was performed to calculate the quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gains of both strategies. A Monte-Carlo simulation for 30,000 subjects was performed and cycled per annum.
On the basis of the model's assumptions, the QALY value for the PTX strategy was 19.17 versus 17.82 for the observation strategy. The incremental QALY gains for various ages according to the sensitivity analyses for PTX in comparison to observation were: 2.84 QALY for 40-year-old patients, 2.2 QALY for 50-year-old patients, 1.81 QALY for 55-year-old patients, 1.35 QALY for 60-year-old patients, and 0.86 QALY for 65-year-old patients. The incremental QALY is below 0.5 after the age of 75 years.
This study found PTX to be advantageous for asymptomatic PHPT patients older than the current age criterion of 50 years. The calculated QALY gains support a surgical approach for medically fit patients in their 50s. The current guidelines for the surgical treatment of young asymptomatic PHPT patients should be revisited by the next steering committee.
重新审视目前无症状原发性甲状旁腺功能亢进症(PHPT)患者手术适应证的年龄标准(50 岁)。
基于过去使用电子数据库“PubMed”、“Embase”、“Medline”和“Google Scholar”发表的文献,构建预测模型。
假设的大样本队列。
根据相关文献构建了一个马尔可夫模型,以比较无症状 PHPT 患者甲状旁腺切除术(PTX)和观察两种潜在治疗方案。两种治疗方案的各种潜在健康状态都有特征描述,包括潜在手术并发症、靶器官恶化和死亡。进行了单因素敏感性分析,以计算两种策略的质量调整生命年(QALY)获益。对 30000 名受试者进行了蒙特卡罗模拟,并每年循环一次。
基于模型的假设,PTX 策略的 QALY 值为 19.17,而观察策略的 QALY 值为 17.82。根据敏感性分析,PTX 与观察相比,各年龄段的增量 QALY 获益分别为:40 岁患者为 2.84 QALY,50 岁患者为 2.20 QALY,55 岁患者为 1.81 QALY,60 岁患者为 1.35 QALY,65 岁患者为 0.86 QALY。75 岁以后,增量 QALY 低于 0.5。
本研究发现,PTX 对年龄超过目前 50 岁标准的无症状 PHPT 患者有益。计算出的 QALY 获益支持对 50 多岁符合医学条件的患者进行手术治疗。下一届指导委员会应重新审议目前针对年轻无症状 PHPT 患者的手术治疗指南。