Liu Xianfeng, Sun Gaopeng, Fu Zheng, Ciais Philippe, Feng Xiaoming, Li Jing, Fu Bojie
School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an, China.
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.
Glob Chang Biol. 2023 Jun;29(11):3072-3084. doi: 10.1111/gcb.16657. Epub 2023 Mar 21.
Vegetation response to soil and atmospheric drought has raised extensively controversy, however, the relative contributions of soil drought, atmospheric drought, and their compound droughts on global vegetation growth remain unclear. Combining the changes in soil moisture (SM), vapor pressure deficit (VPD), and vegetation growth (normalized difference vegetation index [NDVI]) during 1982-2015, here we evaluated the trends of these three drought types and quantified their impacts on global NDVI. We found that global VPD has increased 0.22 ± 0.05 kPa·decade during 1982-2015, and this trend was doubled after 1996 (0.32 ± 0.16 kPa·decade ) than before 1996 (0.16 ± 0.15 kPa·decade ). Regions with large increase in VPD trend generally accompanied with decreasing trend in SM, leading to a widespread increasing trend in compound droughts across 37.62% land areas. We further found compound droughts dominated the vegetation browning since late 1990s, contributing to a declined NDVI of 64.56%. Earth system models agree with the dominant role of compound droughts on vegetation growth, but their negative magnitudes are considerably underestimated, with half of the observed results (34.48%). Our results provided the evidence of compound droughts-induced global vegetation browning, highlighting the importance of correctly simulating the ecosystem-scale response to the under-appreciated exposure to compound droughts as it will increase with climate change.
植被对土壤干旱和大气干旱的响应引发了广泛争议,然而,土壤干旱、大气干旱及其复合干旱对全球植被生长的相对贡献仍不明确。结合1982 - 2015年期间土壤湿度(SM)、蒸气压亏缺(VPD)和植被生长(归一化植被指数[NDVI])的变化,我们评估了这三种干旱类型的趋势,并量化了它们对全球NDVI的影响。我们发现,1982 - 2015年期间全球VPD以每十年0.22±0.05千帕的速度增加,1996年后这一趋势(每十年0.32±0.16千帕)比1996年前(每十年0.16±0.15千帕)翻倍。VPD趋势大幅增加的地区通常伴随着SM的下降趋势,导致37.62%的陆地区域复合干旱呈普遍增加趋势。我们进一步发现,自20世纪90年代末以来,复合干旱主导了植被变褐,导致NDVI下降了64.56%。地球系统模型认同复合干旱对植被生长的主导作用,但其负面影响程度被大幅低估,仅为观测结果的一半(34.48%)。我们的结果提供了复合干旱导致全球植被变褐的证据,突出了正确模拟生态系统尺度对未被充分认识的复合干旱暴露的响应的重要性,因为随着气候变化这种暴露将会增加。