School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Apr;30(19):55485-55497. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-26186-z. Epub 2023 Mar 9.
Transformation and upgrading of industrial structure is the key link to achieve high-quality economic development in China. In recent years, China has begun to eliminate some industries with high energy consumption and high pollution through environmental regulation policies and promote transformation and upgrading the industrial structure. Under multiple pressures such as the shortage of industrial structure and the decline in the demographic dividend, environmental regulation as a binding force will have an significant impact on ecological protection and economic structure adjustment. With the promotion of the inter-regional integration strategy, the links between various regions are becoming closer and closer. Therefore, the environmental regulation policies implemented by the government will not only affect the region, but can also impact neighboring regions. So, how will environmental regulation affect the optimization of industrial structure in the local and surrounding areas and the mechanism and pathways of its impact are theoretical topics worthy of in-depth study, which have important practical significance for exploring the win-win sustainable development path of industrial structure optimization and ecological protection. This paper selects the data of 30 provinces and cities in China from 2009 to 2019, analyses their spatial distribution characteristics, and establishes a spatial Dubin model to explore the spatial effect of environmental regulation intensity on the upgrading of local and adjacent regional industrial structure. The research results show that: (1) China's environmental regulation policy is not developed independently, but has certain relevance in space, that is, regions with higher environmental regulation intensity are adjacent to each other, and regions with lower environmental regulation are adjacent to each other; (2) The intensity of environmental regulation does not directly promote or inhibit the transformation and upgrading of the local industrial structure, but has a positive spatial spillover effect on the upgrading of the industrial structure in the surrounding areas; (3) The impact of environmental regulation policies on the upgrading of industrial structure is mainly reflected through indirect effects.
产业结构转型升级是中国实现经济高质量发展的关键环节。近年来，中国通过环境监管政策开始淘汰一些高能耗、高污染的产业，促进产业结构转型升级。在产业结构短缺和人口红利下降等多重压力下，环境监管作为一种约束力，将对生态保护和经济结构调整产生重大影响。随着区域间一体化战略的推进，各地区之间的联系越来越紧密。因此，政府实施的环境监管政策不仅会影响到本地区，还会影响到周边地区。那么，环境监管如何影响本地及周边地区产业结构的优化，其影响的机制和途径是什么，这些都是值得深入研究的理论课题，对于探索产业结构优化与生态保护的双赢可持续发展路径具有重要的现实意义。本文选取了 2009 年至 2019 年中国 30 个省、市的数据，分析了其空间分布特征，并建立了空间杜宾模型，探讨了环境规制强度对本地及相邻地区产业结构升级的空间效应。研究结果表明：（1）中国的环境规制政策不是孤立发展的，而是在空间上具有一定的相关性，即环境规制强度较高的地区相互毗邻，环境规制强度较低的地区相互毗邻；（2）环境规制强度并不直接促进或抑制本地产业结构的转型升级，而是对周边地区产业结构升级具有正向的空间溢出效应；（3）环境规制政策对产业结构升级的影响主要通过间接效应来体现。
