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倾向得分匹配法分析胸外科手术患者术后脑梗死的危险因素——单中心回顾性队列研究

Risk factor analysis of postoperative cerebral infarction in thoracic surgery patients by propensity-score matching-a single institution retrospective cohort study.

作者信息

Chen Qirui, Ji Ying, Wang Jing, Zhao Yan, Ye Xin, Liu Yi

机构信息

Department of Thoracic surgery, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Beijing, China.

出版信息

J Thorac Dis. 2023 Feb 28;15(2):620-626. doi: 10.21037/jtd-22-1832. Epub 2023 Feb 23.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Postoperative cerebral infarction (PCI) is serious complication for thoracic surgery patients, however, the risk factors still unclear. This study sought to investigate the incidence risk factors of postoperative cerebral infarction after thoracic surgery.

METHODS

Patients who underwent thoracic surgery from 2011 to 2022 at Beijing Chaoyang Hospital were identified and followed-up for 30 days postoperatively to determine the primary outcome of PCI. Patients with PCI were identified as the PCI cohort, and those without PCI were identified as the non-PCI cohort. The clinical data of all the patients were collected. The Mann-Whitney U test and chi-square test were used to analyze the baseline differences. Propensity-score matching (PSM) at a ratio of 1:4 was used to match the variables between the 2 cohorts, and a stepwise univariate conditional logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors of PCI.

RESULTS

We enrolled 8,448 consecutive patients who underwent thoracic surgeries, including 21 with PCI and 8,827 without PCI. Among the 21 PCI patients, 6 patients died. A history of cerebral infarction [odds ratio (OR) = 4.38, P=0.037], perioperative blood transfusion (OR =6.22, P=0.013), a history of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) (OR =5.25, P=0.022), and hyperlipidemia (OR =13.76, P<0.01) were identified as independent risk factors among all the factors by the univariate logistical analysis after the PSM of the other covariates at a ratio of 1:4.

CONCLUSIONS

PCI patients who undergo thoracic surgery have a poor prognosis. A history of cerebral infarction, perioperative blood transfusion, a history of DVT, and hyperlipidemia are risk factors of PCI. Patients with risk factors may need prevention measure and assist clinician for early diagnosis of PCI.

摘要

背景

术后脑梗死(PCI)是胸外科手术患者的严重并发症,然而,其危险因素仍不明确。本研究旨在探讨胸外科手术后发生术后脑梗死的发病危险因素。

方法

确定2011年至2022年在北京朝阳医院接受胸外科手术的患者,并在术后随访30天以确定PCI的主要结局。确诊为PCI的患者被纳入PCI队列,未发生PCI的患者被纳入非PCI队列。收集所有患者的临床资料。采用Mann-Whitney U检验和卡方检验分析基线差异。采用1:4的倾向评分匹配(PSM)方法对两组之间的变量进行匹配,并采用逐步单因素条件逻辑回归分析PCI的危险因素。

结果

我们纳入了8448例连续接受胸外科手术的患者,其中21例发生PCI,8827例未发生PCI。在21例PCI患者中,6例死亡。在对其他协变量进行1:4比例的PSM后,通过单因素逻辑分析确定,脑梗死病史[比值比(OR)=4.38,P=0.037]、围手术期输血(OR =6.22,P=0.013)、深静脉血栓形成(DVT)病史(OR =5.25,P=0.022)和高脂血症(OR =13.76,P<0.01)是所有因素中的独立危险因素。

结论

接受胸外科手术的PCI患者预后较差。脑梗死病史、围手术期输血、DVT病史和高脂血症是PCI的危险因素。有危险因素的患者可能需要采取预防措施,并协助临床医生早期诊断PCI。

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