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用于位置、尺度和偏度变化的无分布I期方案及其在监测客户等待时间中的应用

Distribution-free Phase-I scheme for location, scale and skewness shifts with an application in monitoring customers' waiting time.

作者信息

Suzuki Akira, Murakami Hidetoshi, Mukherjee Amitava

机构信息

Department of Applied Mathematics, Graduate School of Science, Tokyo University of Science, Tokyo, Japan.

Department of Applied Mathematics, Tokyo University of Science, Tokyo, Japan.

出版信息

J Appl Stat. 2021 Nov 5;50(4):827-847. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2021.1994530. eCollection 2023.

DOI:10.1080/02664763.2021.1994530
PMID:36925911
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10013472/
Abstract

Phase-I analysis of historical data from a statistical process is a strategic problem in Statistical Process Monitoring and control. Before the establishment of process stability, it is challenging to model historical data. Consequently, a distribution-free approach is a natural choice in Phase-I monitoring. Existing distribution-free Phase-I control charts are suitable for detecting instability in location and scale parameters only and are often insensitive in complex processes involving skewness or shape parameters. A new Phase-I control chart is proposed to identify more general shifts, including location, scale and skewness. The proposed Phase-I scheme is efficient in such a situation. The proposed Phase-I scheme uses subsamples, and the plotting statistic is based on the omnibus multi-sample linear rank statistic corresponding to the location, scale and skewness shifts. The new scheme can identify subsamples that are not in control, and it can also indicate one or more process parameters where a deviation has occurred. The encouraging performance of the proposed scheme is established with a large-scale numerical study based on Monte-Carlo in detecting shifts of various nature in a comprehensive class of situations. An illustration based on monitoring the waiting time data from a customer service centre is given. Some concluding remarks and some future research problems are also offered.

摘要

统计过程中历史数据的第一阶段分析是统计过程监测与控制中的一个战略问题。在过程稳定性确立之前,对历史数据进行建模具有挑战性。因此,无分布方法是第一阶段监测的自然选择。现有的无分布第一阶段控制图仅适用于检测位置和尺度参数的不稳定性,在涉及偏度或形状参数的复杂过程中通常不敏感。本文提出了一种新的第一阶段控制图,用于识别更一般的变化,包括位置、尺度和偏度。所提出的第一阶段方案在这种情况下是有效的。所提出的第一阶段方案使用子样本,并且绘图统计量基于与位置、尺度和偏度变化相对应的综合多样本线性秩统计量。新方案可以识别失控的子样本,还可以指出发生偏差的一个或多个过程参数。通过基于蒙特卡罗的大规模数值研究,在所提出的方案在全面的情况下检测各种性质的变化方面建立了令人鼓舞的性能。给出了一个基于监测客户服务中心等待时间数据的示例。还提供了一些结论性评论和一些未来的研究问题。