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创伤性阑尾炎可能并不存在:对自然界中巧合事件的例证性分析。

Traumatic appendicitis is probably not real: an illustrative analysis of coincidental occurrences in nature.

作者信息

Naumann David N, Barker Tom

机构信息

Department of Emergency General Surgery and Trauma, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, UK.

Institute of Inflammation and Ageing, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.

出版信息

Trauma Surg Acute Care Open. 2023 Mar 15;8(1):e001093. doi: 10.1136/tsaco-2023-001093. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

There have been sporadic case reports describing 'traumatic appendicitis' (acute appendicitis occurring following injury) for almost a hundred years. Although this might seem to be an interesting and rare diagnosis for the journal reader, both appendicitis and trauma are very common, and their occurrence together may only give the illusion of causality. Indeed, such a diagnosis may not even exist. We provide an illustration of the statistical phenomenon of coincidental occurrences in nature using a computer simulation of traumatic appendicitis in the UK population. In our simulation, there are enough cases of traumatic appendicitis every 2 years to 3 years to account for the entire global literature on the topic. We suggest that unless there is a credible pathological process reported with demonstrable causality, further case reports of traumatic appendicitis need to have robust justification.

摘要

近一百年来,一直有零星的病例报告描述“创伤性阑尾炎”(受伤后发生的急性阑尾炎)。尽管对于期刊读者来说,这似乎是一个有趣且罕见的诊断,但阑尾炎和创伤都非常常见,它们同时出现可能只是给人一种因果关系的错觉。事实上,这样的诊断甚至可能不存在。我们通过对英国人群创伤性阑尾炎的计算机模拟,举例说明了自然界中巧合事件的统计现象。在我们的模拟中,每两到三年就有足够多的创伤性阑尾炎病例,足以涵盖关于该主题的全部全球文献。我们建议,除非报告了有可证明因果关系的可信病理过程,否则创伤性阑尾炎的进一步病例报告需要有充分的理由。

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本文引用的文献

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Acute appendicitis after closed abdominal trauma: A case report.闭合性腹部创伤后急性阑尾炎:一例报告。
Radiol Case Rep. 2022 Nov 30;18(2):631-634. doi: 10.1016/j.radcr.2022.10.088. eCollection 2023 Feb.
3
Traumatic Appendicitis in Children.儿童创伤性阑尾炎
Glob Pediatr Health. 2021 Feb 5;8:2333794X21992168. doi: 10.1177/2333794X21992168. eCollection 2021.
6
Appendicitis following blunt abdominal trauma.钝性腹部创伤后阑尾炎
Am J Emerg Med. 2017 Sep;35(9):1386.e5-1386.e6. doi: 10.1016/j.ajem.2017.06.051. Epub 2017 Jun 27.
7
Seat Belt Compression Appendicitis following Motor Vehicle Collision.机动车碰撞后安全带压迫性阑尾炎
Case Rep Emerg Med. 2017;2017:8245046. doi: 10.1155/2017/8245046. Epub 2017 Mar 1.
9
Contemporary characteristics of blunt abdominal trauma in a regional series from the UK.英国某地区钝性腹部创伤的当代特征
Ann R Coll Surg Engl. 2017 Jan;99(1):82-87. doi: 10.1308/rcsann.2016.0223. Epub 2016 Aug 4.

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