Olsen J H
Cancer. 1986 Jun 1;57(11):2250-4. doi: 10.1002/1097-0142(19860601)57:11<2250::aid-cncr2820571131>3.0.co;2-h.
Against the background of a seemingly short latency period for the majority of childhood tumors and the theory of the existence of a prezygotic variation of the two-step mutation model prior to tumor development, the risk of second cancer after cancer in childhood is examined in the population of Denmark from 1943-1980. A total of 5319 cases of primary cancer in childhood were followed until patient death or the end of 1980, and the number of secondary tumors were observed, specifying on diagnosis, age, sex, and time since first tumor diagnosis. A total of 23 secondary tumors was observed (O) against an expected (E) figure of 6.5, corresponding to an O/E ratio of 4.4. The risk varies greatly according to time elapsed since first diagnosis, with the highest risk in close relation to the primary tumor. The second tumor is probably more frequently localized to the skin and brain than elsewhere, and the risk of a second tumor is particularly associated with leukemia and osteosarcoma in childhood. It is concluded that the results are compatible with the theory of a prezygotic variation of the two-step mutation model.
鉴于大多数儿童肿瘤的潜伏期似乎较短,以及肿瘤发生前两步突变模型存在合子前变异的理论,对1943年至1980年丹麦人群中儿童患癌后发生二次癌症的风险进行了研究。对总共5319例儿童原发性癌症病例进行随访,直至患者死亡或1980年底,并观察二次肿瘤的数量,具体记录诊断、年龄、性别以及首次肿瘤诊断后的时间。共观察到23例二次肿瘤(O),预期(E)数字为6.5,对应O/E比为4.4。风险根据首次诊断后的时间长短有很大差异,与原发性肿瘤关系最密切时风险最高。二次肿瘤可能比其他部位更常发生于皮肤和脑部,儿童二次肿瘤的风险尤其与白血病和骨肉瘤相关。得出的结论是,这些结果与两步突变模型的合子前变异理论相符。