Five-year morbidity and mortality rates in a U.S. population with obesity with and without prediabetes.

AIMS

This research examines the prevalence of morbidity and mortality among people with obesity with or without prediabetes.

METHODS

This observational study uses Optum® Market Clarity deidentified data from 2007 to 2020. Individuals with obesity without prediabetes (obesity only) were matched 1:1 to adults with prediabetes plus obesity based upon age, sex, race, ethnicity, and region. Age and sex adjusted prevalence rates and 95 % CIs were calculated for morbidity and mortality for each 365-day period post index date and over the entire 5-year post-period.

RESULTS

After 5-years, the adjusted mortality rate was 10.1 % for adults with obesity plus prediabetes and 6.9 % for adults with obesity only (p < 0.05). Five years post index date, the prevalence of type 2 diabetes was 25.3 % for people with obesity plus prediabetes and 9.2 % for people with obesity only (p < 0.05). Prevalence rates after 5 years for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (13.1 % v 8.1 %), composite cardiovascular outcome (7.0 % v 4.4 %) and composite cardio-renal outcome (8.9 % v 5.0 %) were significantly higher for adults with obesity plus prediabetes compared to adults with obesity only (all p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Results of this study indicate that the presence of prediabetes contributes to the development of additional morbidity and mortality in adults with obesity.