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干旱灾害与利益相关者认知:解析干旱严重程度、感知影响、备灾能力和管理之间的相互关系。

Drought hazards and stakeholder perception: Unraveling the interlinkages between drought severity, perceived impacts, preparedness, and management.

机构信息

Air, Water and Landscape Science, Department of Earth Sciences, Uppsala University, Villavägen 16, 75236, Uppsala, Sweden.

Department of Political Science and Law, Swedish Defence University, Box 278 05, 11593, Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Ambio. 2023 Jul;52(7):1262-1281. doi: 10.1007/s13280-023-01849-w. Epub 2023 Apr 3.

Abstract

The future risk for droughts and water shortages calls for substantial efforts by authorities to adapt at local levels. Understanding their perception of drought hazards, risk and vulnerability can help to identify drivers of and barriers to drought risk planning and management in a changing climate at the local level. This paper presents a novel interdisciplinary drought case study in Sweden that integrates soft data from a nationwide survey among more than 100 local practitioners and hard data based on hydrological measurements to provide a holistic assessment of the links between drought severity and the perceived levels of drought severity, impacts, preparedness, and management for two consecutive drought events. The paper highlights challenges for drought risk planning and management in a changing climate at the local level and elaborates on how improved understanding of local practitioners to plan for climate change adaptation can be achieved.

摘要

未来干旱和水资源短缺的风险要求当局在地方层面做出大量努力进行适应。了解他们对干旱灾害、风险和脆弱性的认知,可以帮助确定在不断变化的气候条件下,地方层面进行干旱风险规划和管理的驱动因素和障碍。本文提出了一项瑞典跨学科干旱案例研究,该研究综合了来自全国范围内对 100 多名地方从业者进行的调查中的软数据和基于水文测量的硬数据,以全面评估两次连续干旱事件中干旱严重程度与感知到的干旱严重程度、影响、准备和管理水平之间的联系。本文强调了地方层面在不断变化的气候条件下进行干旱风险规划和管理所面临的挑战,并详细阐述了如何提高对地方从业者的了解,以规划适应气候变化。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8f19/10247940/d6b0ca37ae67/13280_2023_1849_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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