Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas (E.J.H., C.R.A., A.A.K., S.R.D., J.A.d.L.).
Quality, Outcomes Research, and Analytics Department, American Heart Association, Dallas (C.R., J.W., J.H.W., L.S., J.L.H., P.M.).
Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes. 2023 May;16(5):e009652. doi: 10.1161/CIRCOUTCOMES.122.009652. Epub 2023 Apr 5.
The COVID-19 pandemic has evolved through multiple phases characterized by new viral variants, vaccine development, and changes in therapies. It is unknown whether rates of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factor profiles and complications have changed over time.
We analyzed the American Heart Association COVID-19 CVD registry, a national multicenter registry of hospitalized adults with active COVID-19 infection. The time period from April 2020 to December 2021 was divided into 3-month epochs, with March 2020 analyzed separately as a potential outlier. Participating centers varied over the study period. Trends in all-cause in-hospital mortality, CVD risk factors, and in-hospital CVD outcomes, including a composite primary outcome of cardiovascular death, cardiogenic shock, new heart failure, stroke, and myocardial infarction, were evaluated across time epochs. Risk-adjusted analyses were performed using generalized linear mixed-effects models.
A total of 46 007 patient admissions from 134 hospitals were included (mean patient age 61.8 years, 53% male, 22% Black race). Patients admitted later in the pandemic were younger, more likely obese, and less likely to have existing CVD ( ≤0.001 for each). The incidence of the primary outcome increased from 7.0% in March 2020 to 9.8% in October to December 2021 (risk-adjusted =0.006). This was driven by an increase in the diagnosis of myocardial infarction and stroke (<0.0001 for each). The overall rate of in-hospital mortality was 14.2%, which declined over time (20.8% in March 2020 versus 10.8% in the last epoch; adjusted <0.0001). When the analysis was restricted to July 2020 to December 2021, no temporal change in all-cause mortality was seen (adjusted =0.63).
Despite a shifting risk factor profile toward a younger population with lower rates of established CVD, the incidence of diagnosed cardiovascular complications of COVID increased from the onset of the pandemic through December 2021. All-cause mortality decreased during the initial months of the pandemic and thereafter remained consistently high through December 2021.
COVID-19 大流行经历了多个阶段,其特征是新的病毒变体、疫苗的开发以及治疗方法的改变。目前尚不清楚心血管疾病(CVD)危险因素谱和并发症的发生率是否随时间而变化。
我们分析了美国心脏协会 COVID-19 CVD 注册中心的数据,该注册中心是一个全国性的多中心住院成年 COVID-19 感染患者登记处。从 2020 年 4 月到 2021 年 12 月的时间段被分为 3 个月的时期,2020 年 3 月作为潜在的异常值单独进行分析。研究期间参与的中心有所不同。通过广义线性混合效应模型评估了所有原因住院死亡率、CVD 危险因素以及住院 CVD 结局(包括心血管死亡、心源性休克、新发心力衰竭、卒中和心肌梗死的复合主要结局)随时间的变化趋势。
共纳入了来自 134 家医院的 46007 例患者入院(平均患者年龄为 61.8 岁,53%为男性,22%为黑人)。大流行后期入院的患者年龄更小,更可能肥胖,且患有现有 CVD 的可能性更小(每一项均<0.001)。主要结局的发生率从 2020 年 3 月的 7.0%上升至 2021 年 10 月至 12 月的 9.8%(风险调整后=0.006)。这是由于心肌梗死和卒中的诊断增加所致(每一项均<0.0001)。总的住院死亡率为 14.2%,随时间推移而下降(2020 年 3 月为 20.8%,最后一个时期为 10.8%;调整后<0.0001)。当分析仅限于 2020 年 7 月至 2021 年 12 月时,未观察到全因死亡率的时间变化(调整后=0.63)。
尽管危险因素谱向年轻人群转移,且已有 CVD 的发病率较低,但 COVID 心血管并发症的诊断发生率从大流行开始到 2021 年 12 月期间有所增加。在大流行的最初几个月,全因死亡率下降,此后一直保持在 2021 年 12 月的高位。