Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, Wallagga University, Gimbi, Ethiopia.
PLoS One. 2023 Apr 6;18(4):e0273271. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0273271. eCollection 2023.
This study aimed to examine the spatial variations in malaria hotspots along Dilla sub-watershed in western Ethiopia based on environmental factors for the prevalence; and compare the risk level along with districts and their respective kebele. The purpose was to identify the extent of the community's exposure to the risk of malaria due to their geographical and biophysical situations, and the results contribute to proactive interventions to halt the impacts.
The descriptive survey design was used in this study. Ethiopia Central Statistical Agency based meteorological data, digital elevation model, and soil and hydrological data were integrated with other primary data such as the observations of the study area for ground truthing. The spatial analysis tools and software were used for watershed delineation, generating malaria risk map for all variables, reclassification of factors, weighted overlay analysis, and generation of risk maps.
The findings of the study reveal that the significant spatial variations in magnitudes of malaria risk have persisted in the watershed due to discrepancy in their geographical and biophysical situations. Accordingly, significant areas in most of the districts in the watershed are characterized by high and moderate in malaria risks. In general, out of the total area of the watershed which accounts 2773 km2, about 54.8% (1522km2) identified as high and moderate malaria risk area. These areas are explicitly identified and mapped along with the districts and kebele in the watershed to make the result suitable for planning proactive interventions and other decision making.
The research output may help the government and humanitarian organizations to prioritize the interventions based on identified spatial situations in severity of malaria risks. The study was aimed only for hotspot analysis which may not provide inclusive account for community's vulnerability to malaria. Thus, the findings in this study needs to be integrated with the socio-economic and other relevant data for better malaria management in the area. Therefore, future research should comprehend the analysis of vulnerability to the impacts of malaria through integrating the level of exposure to the risk, for instance identified in this study, with factors of sensitivity and adaptation capacity of the local community.
本研究旨在根据流行情况的环境因素,检查埃塞俄比亚西部迪拉次流域疟疾热点的空间变化,并比较各地区及其各自的贝拉的风险水平。目的是确定由于地理位置和自然地理条件,社区接触疟疾风险的程度,研究结果有助于采取积极主动的干预措施来阻止其影响。
本研究采用描述性调查设计。埃塞俄比亚中央统计局的气象数据、数字高程模型、土壤和水文数据与其他主要数据(如研究区的观测结果进行实地验证)相结合。流域划分、生成所有变量的疟疾风险图、因子重新分类、加权叠加分析和风险图生成等空间分析工具和软件用于生成疟疾风险图。
研究结果表明,由于地理位置和自然地理条件的差异,流域内疟疾风险的幅度存在显著的空间变化。因此,流域内大多数地区的大部分地区都存在高风险和中风险的疟疾。一般来说,在流域的总面积为 2773 平方公里中,约有 54.8%(1522 平方公里)被确定为高风险和中风险疟疾地区。这些地区在流域内的地区和贝拉被明确识别和绘制,以确保结果适合规划积极主动的干预措施和其他决策。
研究结果可能有助于政府和人道主义组织根据疟疾风险严重程度的空间情况确定干预措施的优先级。本研究仅针对热点分析,可能无法全面说明社区对疟疾的脆弱性。因此,本研究的结果需要与社会经济和其他相关数据相结合,以改善该地区的疟疾管理。因此,未来的研究应该通过整合暴露于风险的水平,例如本研究中确定的水平,以及当地社区的敏感性和适应能力等因素,来综合分析对疟疾影响的脆弱性。