Department of Public Health, Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University.
Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Hokkaido University.
J Epidemiol. 2024 Mar 5;34(3):129-136. doi: 10.2188/jea.JE20220359. Epub 2023 Sep 30.
For therapeutic efficacy, molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir must be started to treat patients within 5 days of disease onset to treat patients with novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, some patients spend more than 5 days from disease onset before reporting to the Public Health Office. This study aimed to clarify the characteristics of patients with reporting delay.
This study included data from 12,399 patients with COVID-19 who reported to the Public Health Office from March 3, 2021 to June 30, 2021. Patients were stratified into "linked" (n = 7,814) and "unlinked" (n = 4,585) cases depending on whether they were linked to other patients. A long reporting delay was defined as the difference between the onset and reporting dates of 5 days or more. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using log-binomial regression to identify factors related to long reporting delay, and prevalence ratios with corresponding 95% confidence intervals were calculated.
The proportion of long reporting delay was 24.4% (1,904/7,814) and 29.3% (1,344/4,585) in linked and unlinked cases, respectively. Risks of long reporting delay among linked cases were living alone and onset on the day with a higher 7-day daily average confirmed cases or onset on weekends; whereas, risks for unlinked cases were age over 65 years, without occupation, and living alone.
Our results suggest the necessity to establish a Public Health Office system that is less susceptible to the rapid increase in the number of patients, promotes educational activities for people with fewer social connections, and improves access to health care.
为了达到治疗效果,莫努匹韦和奈玛特韦-利托那韦必须在发病后 5 天内开始治疗新型冠状病毒病 2019(COVID-19)患者。然而,有些患者从发病到向公共卫生办公室报告需要超过 5 天的时间。本研究旨在阐明报告延迟患者的特征。
本研究纳入了 2021 年 3 月 3 日至 2021 年 6 月 30 日期间向公共卫生办公室报告的 12399 例 COVID-19 患者的数据。根据患者是否与其他患者有关联,将患者分为“关联”(n=7814)和“非关联”(n=4585)病例。报告延迟时间长定义为发病日期和报告日期之间相差 5 天或以上。使用对数二项式回归对单变量和多变量分析进行分析,以确定与报告延迟时间长相关的因素,并计算相应的 95%置信区间的患病率比。
在关联病例和非关联病例中,报告延迟时间长的比例分别为 24.4%(1904/7814)和 29.3%(1344/4585)。关联病例中报告延迟时间长的风险因素包括独居和发病日处于确诊病例 7 天日均较高的日子或周末;而非关联病例的风险因素包括年龄大于 65 岁、无职业和独居。
我们的结果表明,有必要建立一个公共卫生办公室系统,该系统不易受到患者数量快速增加的影响,促进与社交联系较少的人群的教育活动,并改善获得医疗保健的机会。