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出院时的虚弱程度比年龄或疾病严重程度更能准确预测老年艰难梭菌患者的死亡率。

Frailty level at discharge predicts mortality in older patients with Clostridioides difficile more accurately than age or disease severity.

机构信息

Department of Geriatrics, Aarhus University Hospital, Palle Juul-Jensens Boulevard 99, 8200, Aarhus N, Denmark.

Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.

出版信息

Eur Geriatr Med. 2023 Jun;14(3):583-593. doi: 10.1007/s41999-023-00772-3. Epub 2023 Apr 13.

Abstract

PURPOSE

Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) has a high mortality among older patients. Identification of older patients with CDI in increased mortality risk is important to target treatment and thereby reduce mortality. The aim of this study was to investigate mortality rates and compare frailty levels at discharge, measured by the record-based Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI), with age and severity of CDI as mortality predictors in patients with CDI diagnosed during hospitalisation.

METHODS

This was a population-based cohort study from Central Denmark Region, Denmark, including all patients  ≥ 60 years with a positive CD toxin test without prior infection and diagnosed from 1 January to 31 December 2018. Frailty level, estimated from the electronic medical record, was defined as low, moderate, or severe frailty. CDI severity was graded according to international guidelines. Primary outcome was 90-day mortality.

RESULTS

We included 457 patients with median age 77 years (interquartile range 69-84) and females (49%). Overall, 90-day mortality was 28%, and this was associated with age (hazard ratio (HR): 2.71 (95% confidence interval 1.64-4.47)), CDI severity (HR 4.58 (3.04-6.88)) and frailty (HR 10.15 (4.06-25.36)). Frailty was a better predictor of 90-day mortality than both age (p < 0.001) and CDI severity (p = 0.04) with a receiver operating characteristic curve area of 77%.

CONCLUSION

The 90-day mortality among older patients with CDI in a Danish region is 28%. Frailty measured by record-based MPI at discharge outperforms age and disease severity markers in predicting mortality in older patients with CDI.

摘要

目的

艰难梭菌感染(CDI)在老年患者中的死亡率较高。识别出死亡率较高的老年 CDI 患者对于靶向治疗以降低死亡率非常重要。本研究旨在调查死亡率,并比较基于记录的多维预后指数(MPI)在出院时评估的虚弱程度与年龄和 CDI 严重程度作为住院期间诊断为 CDI 患者的死亡率预测指标。

方法

这是丹麦中丹地区的一项基于人群的队列研究,纳入了所有年龄≥60 岁、无先前感染且于 2018 年 1 月 1 日至 12 月 31 日期间进行 CD 毒素检测阳性的患者。虚弱程度通过电子病历估计,定义为低、中、重度虚弱。CDI 严重程度根据国际指南分级。主要结局为 90 天死亡率。

结果

共纳入 457 名年龄中位数为 77 岁(四分位间距 69-84 岁)、女性占 49%的患者。总体而言,90 天死亡率为 28%,与年龄(危险比[HR]:2.71(95%置信区间 1.64-4.47))、CDI 严重程度(HR 4.58(3.04-6.88))和虚弱程度(HR 10.15(4.06-25.36))相关。虚弱程度是预测 90 天死亡率的更好指标,优于年龄(p<0.001)和 CDI 严重程度(p=0.04),其受试者工作特征曲线下面积为 77%。

结论

丹麦地区老年 CDI 患者的 90 天死亡率为 28%。基于记录的 MPI 在出院时评估的虚弱程度优于年龄和疾病严重程度标志物,可预测老年 CDI 患者的死亡率。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edd1/10261235/8ac67f29e92f/41999_2023_772_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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