Akwasi Gyamfi Bright, Taiwo Onifade Stephen, Haouas Ilham, Fatai Adedoyin Festus
School of Management, Sir Padampat Singhania University, Bhatewar, Udaipur, 31360, Rajasthan, India.
Faculty of Economics, Administrative and Social Sciences, Department of International Trade & Logistics, KTO Karatay University, Konya, Turkey.
Heliyon. 2023 Apr 1;9(4):e15105. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e15105. eCollection 2023 Apr.
One of the most essential aspects of a nation's economic progress that determines the citizens' lifestyles and general wellbeing is the level of financial development (FD). Thus, the current study examines the influence of natural resources as key variable for financial development in South Asian economic bloc while accounting for the roles of export diversity, inflation, and economic expansion. The dataset utilized for the South Asian bloc stretches between 1990 and 2020. Second-generation panel econometric approaches that are robust to slope heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence were employed in the study. The relevance and applicability of the second-generation techniques was reinforced by some preliminary assessments while the cointegration checks confirm the existence of long-run interconnectedness between financial development and the regressors. The elaborate empirical analysis that was conducted shows that export diversity and natural resources abundance exert diametric impacts on financial development of the South Asian bloc. While the former positively influences financial development, the latter's impact was significantly negative thereby signaling the resource curse tendency of the South Asian countries. Furthermore, the observed roles of economic progress and inflation on the bloc's financial development were positive and significant. Therefore, authorities in the South Asian countries need to maintain greater regulatory oversight of the resources market to ensure that rent seeking and resource abuse are avoided at all costs towards building a more prudent fiscal mechanism within a stable financial system. Authorities also need to ensure that resources are fully efficiently utilized by channeling them to production activities that create value addition to resources to harness greater exports for improved FD levels. Other policy measures were also highlighted for the South Asian stakeholders in the main text.
一个国家经济发展的最基本方面之一是金融发展水平(FD),它决定了公民的生活方式和总体福祉。因此,本研究考察了自然资源作为南亚经济集团金融发展关键变量的影响,同时考虑了出口多样性、通货膨胀和经济扩张的作用。用于南亚集团的数据集涵盖1990年至2020年。本研究采用了对斜率异质性和横截面依赖性具有稳健性的第二代面板计量方法。一些初步评估加强了第二代技术的相关性和适用性,而协整检验证实了金融发展与回归变量之间存在长期的相互联系。进行的详尽实证分析表明,出口多样性和自然资源丰富度对南亚集团的金融发展产生了截然不同的影响。前者对金融发展有积极影响,而后者的影响则显著为负,从而表明南亚国家存在资源诅咒倾向。此外,经济增长和通货膨胀对该集团金融发展的作用是积极且显著的。因此,南亚国家的当局需要对资源市场保持更强有力的监管监督,以确保不惜一切代价避免寻租和资源滥用,从而在稳定的金融体系内建立更审慎的财政机制。当局还需要确保通过将资源引导至能为资源创造附加值的生产活动,从而充分有效地利用资源,以获取更多出口,提高金融发展水平。正文还为南亚利益相关者强调了其他政策措施。