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2000 - 2019年美洲国家层面自杀死亡率的相关背景因素:一项横断面生态研究

Contextual factors associated with country-level suicide mortality in the Americas, 2000-2019: a cross-sectional ecological study.

作者信息

Lange Shannon, Cayetano Claudina, Jiang Huan, Tausch Amy, Oliveira E Souza Renato

机构信息

Institute for Mental Health Policy Research, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, ON, Canada.

Campbell Family Mental Health Research Institute, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, ON, Canada.

出版信息

Lancet Reg Health Am. 2023 Feb 23;20:100450. doi: 10.1016/j.lana.2023.100450. eCollection 2023 Apr.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The suicide mortality rate in the Region of the Americas has been increasing, while decreasing in all other World Health Organization regions; highlighting the urgent need for enhanced prevention efforts. Gaining a better understanding of population-level contextual factors associated with suicide may aid such efforts. We aimed to evaluate the contextual factors associated with country-level, sex-specific suicide mortality rates in the Region of the Americas for 2000-2019.

METHODS

Annual sex-specific age-standardized suicide mortality estimates were obtained from the World Health Organization (WHO) Global Health Estimates database. To investigate the sex-specific suicide mortality rate trend over time in the region, we performed joinpoint regression analysis. We then applied a linear mixed model to estimate the effects of specific contextual factors on the suicide mortality rate across countries in the region over time. All potentially relevant contextual factors, obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 covariates and The World Bank, were selected in a step-wise manner.

FINDINGS

We found that the mean country-level suicide mortality rate among males in the region decreased as health expenditure per capita and the proportion of the country with a moderate population density increased; and increased as the death rate due to homicide, prevalence of intravenous drug use, risk-weighted prevalence of alcohol use, and unemployment rate increased. The mean country-level suicide mortality rate among females in the region decreased as the number of employed medical doctors per 10,000 population and the proportion of the country with a moderate population density increased; and increased when relative education inequality and unemployment rate increased.

INTERPRETATION

Although there was some overlap, the contextual factors that significantly impacted the suicide mortality rate among males and females were largely different, which mirrors the current literature on individual-level risk factors for suicide. Taken together, our data supports that sex should be considered when adapting and testing suicide risk reduction interventions, and when developing national suicide prevention strategies.

FUNDING

This work received no funding.

摘要

背景

美洲地区的自杀死亡率一直在上升,而世界卫生组织其他所有地区的自杀死亡率都在下降;这凸显了加强预防工作的迫切需求。更好地了解与自杀相关的人群层面背景因素可能有助于此类工作。我们旨在评估2000 - 2019年美洲地区国家层面、按性别划分的自杀死亡率相关的背景因素。

方法

年度按性别和年龄标准化的自杀死亡率估计值来自世界卫生组织(WHO)全球卫生估计数据库。为了研究该地区随时间变化的按性别划分的自杀死亡率趋势,我们进行了连接点回归分析。然后,我们应用线性混合模型来估计特定背景因素对该地区各国随时间变化的自杀死亡率的影响。从2019年全球疾病负担研究协变量和世界银行获取的所有潜在相关背景因素均采用逐步选择的方式。

研究结果

我们发现,该地区男性的国家层面平均自杀死亡率随着人均卫生支出和中等人口密度国家的比例增加而下降;随着凶杀死亡率、静脉注射吸毒流行率、酒精使用风险加权流行率和失业率上升而上升。该地区女性的国家层面平均自杀死亡率随着每万人口中执业医生数量和中等人口密度国家的比例增加而下降;当相对教育不平等和失业率上升时则上升。

解读

尽管存在一些重叠,但对男性和女性自杀死亡率有显著影响的背景因素在很大程度上是不同的,这反映了当前关于自杀个体层面风险因素的文献。综上所述,我们的数据支持在调整和测试自杀风险降低干预措施以及制定国家自杀预防策略时应考虑性别因素。

资金来源

本研究未获得资金支持。

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