From the Division of Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Monroe Carell Jr. Children's Hospital at Vanderbilt, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
the Department of Pathology, Ann & Robert H. Lurie Children's Hospital of Chicago, Chicago, IL.
J Pediatr Gastroenterol Nutr. 2023 Jul 1;77(1):93-96. doi: 10.1097/MPG.0000000000003810. Epub 2023 Apr 25.
We investigated reproducibility and generalizability of the recently developed web-based model to predict lamina propria fibrosis (LPF) in esophageal biopsies with inadequate lamina propria (LP) from patients with eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE) using an independent dataset (N = 183). For grade and stage scores of LPF, the area under the curve for predictive model was 0.77 (0.69-0.84) and 0.75 (0.67-0.82), and its accuracy was 78% and 72%, respectively. These model performance metrics were similar to that of the original model. A significant positive correlation was noted between the models' predictive probability and the grade and stage of LPF assessed by a pathologist (grade: r2 = 0.48, P < 0.001; and stage: r2 = 0.39, P < 0.001). These results support the reproducibility and generalizability of the web-based model to predict the presence of LPF in esophageal biopsies with inadequate LP in EoE. Additional studies are warranted to refine the web-based predictive models to provide predictive probability for sub-scores of LPF severity.
我们使用独立数据集(N=183)调查了最近开发的基于网络的模型在预测嗜酸性食管炎(EoE)患者中固有层(LP)不足的食管活检中固有层纤维化(LPF)的可重复性和普遍性。对于 LPF 的分级和分期评分,预测模型的曲线下面积为 0.77(0.69-0.84)和 0.75(0.67-0.82),其准确性分别为 78%和 72%。这些模型性能指标与原始模型相似。模型预测概率与病理学家评估的 LPF 分级和分期之间存在显著正相关(分级:r2=0.48,P<0.001;分期:r2=0.39,P<0.001)。这些结果支持基于网络的模型在预测 EoE 中 LP 不足的食管活检中 LPF 存在的可重复性和普遍性。需要进一步研究来完善基于网络的预测模型,以提供 LPF 严重程度的亚评分的预测概率。