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基于网络的预测嗜酸性粒细胞性食管炎固有层纤维化的工具的可重复性和通用性。

Reproducibility and Generalizability of the Web-Based Tool to Predict Lamina Propria Fibrosis in Eosinophilic Esophagitis.

机构信息

From the Division of Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Monroe Carell Jr. Children's Hospital at Vanderbilt, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.

the Department of Pathology, Ann & Robert H. Lurie Children's Hospital of Chicago, Chicago, IL.

出版信息

J Pediatr Gastroenterol Nutr. 2023 Jul 1;77(1):93-96. doi: 10.1097/MPG.0000000000003810. Epub 2023 Apr 25.

Abstract

We investigated reproducibility and generalizability of the recently developed web-based model to predict lamina propria fibrosis (LPF) in esophageal biopsies with inadequate lamina propria (LP) from patients with eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE) using an independent dataset (N = 183). For grade and stage scores of LPF, the area under the curve for predictive model was 0.77 (0.69-0.84) and 0.75 (0.67-0.82), and its accuracy was 78% and 72%, respectively. These model performance metrics were similar to that of the original model. A significant positive correlation was noted between the models' predictive probability and the grade and stage of LPF assessed by a pathologist (grade: r2 = 0.48, P < 0.001; and stage: r2 = 0.39, P < 0.001). These results support the reproducibility and generalizability of the web-based model to predict the presence of LPF in esophageal biopsies with inadequate LP in EoE. Additional studies are warranted to refine the web-based predictive models to provide predictive probability for sub-scores of LPF severity.

摘要

我们使用独立数据集(N=183)调查了最近开发的基于网络的模型在预测嗜酸性食管炎(EoE)患者中固有层(LP)不足的食管活检中固有层纤维化(LPF)的可重复性和普遍性。对于 LPF 的分级和分期评分,预测模型的曲线下面积为 0.77(0.69-0.84)和 0.75(0.67-0.82),其准确性分别为 78%和 72%。这些模型性能指标与原始模型相似。模型预测概率与病理学家评估的 LPF 分级和分期之间存在显著正相关(分级:r2=0.48,P<0.001;分期:r2=0.39,P<0.001)。这些结果支持基于网络的模型在预测 EoE 中 LP 不足的食管活检中 LPF 存在的可重复性和普遍性。需要进一步研究来完善基于网络的预测模型,以提供 LPF 严重程度的亚评分的预测概率。

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