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2015-2020 年格鲁吉亚丙型肝炎病毒感染和治疗对死亡率的影响。

Impact of Hepatitis C Virus Infection and Treatment on Mortality in the Country of Georgia, 2015-2020.

机构信息

Eastern Europe and Central Asia Regional Office, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tbilisi, Georgia.

The Task Force for Global Health, Tbilisi, Georgia.

出版信息

Clin Infect Dis. 2023 Aug 14;77(3):405-413. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciad182.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Mortality related to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a key indicator for elimination. We assessed the impact of HCV infection and treatment on mortality in the country of Georgia during 2015-2020.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based cohort study using data from Georgia's national HCV Elimination Program and death registry. We calculated all-cause mortality rates in 6 cohorts: (1) Negative for anti-HCV; (2) anti-HCV positive, unknown viremia status; (3) current HCV infection and untreated; (4) discontinued treatment; (5) completed treatment, no sustained virologic response (SVR) assessment; (6) completed treatment and achieved SVR. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate adjusted hazards ratios and confidence intervals. We calculated the cause-specific mortality rates attributable to liver-related causes.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 743 days, 100 371 (5.7%) of 1 764 324 study participants died. The highest mortality rate was observed among HCV infected patients who discontinued treatment (10.62 deaths per 100 PY, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 9.65, 11.68), and untreated group (10.33 deaths per 100 PY, 95% CI: 9.96, 10.71). In adjusted Cox proportional hazards model, the untreated group had almost 6-times higher hazard of death compared to treated groups with or without documented SVR (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 5.56, 95% CI: 4.89, 6.31). Those who achieved SVR had consistently lower liver-related mortality compared to cohorts with current or past exposure to HCV.

CONCLUSIONS

This large population-based cohort study demonstrated the marked beneficial association between hepatitis C treatment and mortality. The high mortality rates observed among HCV infected and untreated persons highlights the need to prioritize linkage to care and treatment to achieve elimination goals.

摘要

背景

与丙型肝炎病毒(HCV)感染相关的死亡率是消除该病的一个关键指标。本研究评估了 2015-2020 年期间格鲁吉亚 HCV 感染和治疗对死亡率的影响。

方法

我们利用格鲁吉亚国家 HCV 消除计划和死亡登记处的数据,开展了一项基于人群的队列研究。我们计算了 6 个队列的全因死亡率:(1)抗-HCV 阴性;(2)抗-HCV 阳性,未知病毒血症状态;(3)现患 HCV 感染且未经治疗;(4)已停止治疗;(5)完成治疗,未进行持续病毒学应答(SVR)评估;(6)完成治疗且达到 SVR。采用 Cox 比例风险模型计算调整后的风险比和置信区间。我们计算了归因于肝脏相关原因的特定原因死亡率。

结果

中位随访 743 天后,1764324 名研究参与者中有 100371 人(5.7%)死亡。死亡率最高的是已停止治疗的 HCV 感染者(每 100 人年死亡 10.62 例,95%置信区间[CI]:9.65,11.68)和未经治疗组(每 100 人年死亡 10.33 例,95%CI:9.96,10.71)。在调整后的 Cox 比例风险模型中,与有或无 SVR 记录的治疗组相比,未经治疗组的死亡风险高近 6 倍(调整后的风险比[aHR] = 5.56,95%CI:4.89,6.31)。达到 SVR 的患者的肝脏相关死亡率始终低于现患或既往 HCV 暴露的队列。

结论

这项大型基于人群的队列研究表明,丙型肝炎治疗与死亡率之间存在显著的有益关联。HCV 感染者和未经治疗者的高死亡率突出表明,需要优先考虑将其纳入治疗以实现消除目标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1023/10527899/1233ae745c46/nihms-1917443-f0002.jpg

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