Eastern Europe and Central Asia Regional Office, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tbilisi, Georgia.
The Task Force for Global Health, Tbilisi, Georgia.
Clin Infect Dis. 2023 Aug 14;77(3):405-413. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciad182.
Mortality related to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a key indicator for elimination. We assessed the impact of HCV infection and treatment on mortality in the country of Georgia during 2015-2020.
We conducted a population-based cohort study using data from Georgia's national HCV Elimination Program and death registry. We calculated all-cause mortality rates in 6 cohorts: (1) Negative for anti-HCV; (2) anti-HCV positive, unknown viremia status; (3) current HCV infection and untreated; (4) discontinued treatment; (5) completed treatment, no sustained virologic response (SVR) assessment; (6) completed treatment and achieved SVR. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate adjusted hazards ratios and confidence intervals. We calculated the cause-specific mortality rates attributable to liver-related causes.
After a median follow-up of 743 days, 100 371 (5.7%) of 1 764 324 study participants died. The highest mortality rate was observed among HCV infected patients who discontinued treatment (10.62 deaths per 100 PY, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 9.65, 11.68), and untreated group (10.33 deaths per 100 PY, 95% CI: 9.96, 10.71). In adjusted Cox proportional hazards model, the untreated group had almost 6-times higher hazard of death compared to treated groups with or without documented SVR (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 5.56, 95% CI: 4.89, 6.31). Those who achieved SVR had consistently lower liver-related mortality compared to cohorts with current or past exposure to HCV.
This large population-based cohort study demonstrated the marked beneficial association between hepatitis C treatment and mortality. The high mortality rates observed among HCV infected and untreated persons highlights the need to prioritize linkage to care and treatment to achieve elimination goals.
与丙型肝炎病毒(HCV)感染相关的死亡率是消除该病的一个关键指标。本研究评估了 2015-2020 年期间格鲁吉亚 HCV 感染和治疗对死亡率的影响。
我们利用格鲁吉亚国家 HCV 消除计划和死亡登记处的数据,开展了一项基于人群的队列研究。我们计算了 6 个队列的全因死亡率:(1)抗-HCV 阴性;(2)抗-HCV 阳性,未知病毒血症状态;(3)现患 HCV 感染且未经治疗;(4)已停止治疗;(5)完成治疗,未进行持续病毒学应答(SVR)评估;(6)完成治疗且达到 SVR。采用 Cox 比例风险模型计算调整后的风险比和置信区间。我们计算了归因于肝脏相关原因的特定原因死亡率。
中位随访 743 天后,1764324 名研究参与者中有 100371 人(5.7%)死亡。死亡率最高的是已停止治疗的 HCV 感染者(每 100 人年死亡 10.62 例,95%置信区间[CI]:9.65,11.68)和未经治疗组(每 100 人年死亡 10.33 例,95%CI:9.96,10.71)。在调整后的 Cox 比例风险模型中,与有或无 SVR 记录的治疗组相比,未经治疗组的死亡风险高近 6 倍(调整后的风险比[aHR] = 5.56,95%CI:4.89,6.31)。达到 SVR 的患者的肝脏相关死亡率始终低于现患或既往 HCV 暴露的队列。
这项大型基于人群的队列研究表明,丙型肝炎治疗与死亡率之间存在显著的有益关联。HCV 感染者和未经治疗者的高死亡率突出表明,需要优先考虑将其纳入治疗以实现消除目标。