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急性心肌梗死后生命最后一年的医疗资源利用情况。

Healthcare Resources Utilization throughout the Last Year of Life after Acute Myocardial Infarction.

作者信息

Plakht Ygal, Gilutz Harel, Arbelle Jonathan Eli, Greenberg Dan, Shiyovich Arthur

机构信息

Department of Nursing, Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva 84105, Israel.

Emergency Department, Soroka University Medical Center, Beer-Sheva 84101, Israel.

出版信息

J Clin Med. 2023 Apr 8;12(8):2773. doi: 10.3390/jcm12082773.

Abstract

Healthcare resource utilization (HRU) peaks in the last year-of-life, and accounts for a substantial share of healthcare expenditure. We evaluated changes in HRU and costs throughout the last year-of-life among AMI survivors and investigated whether such changes can predict imminent mortality. This retrospective analysis included patients who survived at least one year following an AMI. Mortality and HRU data during the 10-year follow-up period were collected. Analyses were performed according to follow-up years that were classified into mortality years (one year prior to death) and survival years. Overall, 10,992 patients (44,099 patients-years) were investigated. Throughout the follow-up period, 2,885 (26.3%) patients died. The HRU parameters and total costs were strong independent predictors of mortality during a subsequent year. While a direct association between mortality and hospital services (length of in-hospital stay and emergency department visits) was observed, the association with ambulatory services utilization was reversed. The discriminative ability (c-statistics) of a multivariable model including the HRU parameters for predicting the mortality in the subsequent year, was 0.88. In conclusion, throughout the last year of life, hospital-centered HRU and costs of AMI survivors increase while utilization of ambulatory services decrease. HRUs are strong and independent predictors of an imminent mortality year among these patients.

摘要

医疗资源利用(HRU)在生命的最后一年达到峰值,并在医疗支出中占相当大的份额。我们评估了急性心肌梗死(AMI)幸存者在生命最后一年中HRU和成本的变化,并调查了这些变化是否可以预测即将到来的死亡。这项回顾性分析纳入了AMI后存活至少一年的患者。收集了10年随访期内的死亡率和HRU数据。根据随访年份进行分析,分为死亡年份(死亡前一年)和存活年份。总体而言,共调查了10992例患者(44099患者年)。在整个随访期间,2885例(26.3%)患者死亡。HRU参数和总成本是随后一年死亡率的强有力独立预测因素。虽然观察到死亡率与医院服务(住院时间和急诊就诊次数)之间存在直接关联,但与门诊服务利用的关联则相反。包含HRU参数的多变量模型预测随后一年死亡率的判别能力(c统计量)为0.88。总之,在生命的最后一年,以医院为中心的AMI幸存者的HRU和成本增加,而门诊服务的利用减少。HRU是这些患者即将进入死亡年份的强有力独立预测因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4d9b/10146999/ae5201860d86/jcm-12-02773-g001.jpg

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