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谁是受益者?关于新冠疫情政策措施对上市公司影响的大规模证据。

Cui bono? Large-scale evidence on the impact of COVID-19 policy measures on listed firms.

作者信息

Haimann Michael, Kaserer Christoph, Ljubicic Kristian

机构信息

Technical University Munich, Department of Financial Management and Capital Markets, Germany.

出版信息

Q Rev Econ Finance. 2023 Jun;89:228-243. doi: 10.1016/j.qref.2023.04.002. Epub 2023 Apr 22.

Abstract

By using a large international firm-level data set this paper aims to make a contribution in better understanding how COVID-19 related stringency and economic support measures actually affected the corporate sector. Our most important findings can be summarized as follows: First, we find robust evidence that stringency measures had a statistically and economically significant positive impact on listed firms. Second, with respect to the effects of economic support measures the evidence seems, at best, to be weakly in favor of a positive impact. Third, small and employment intensive companies profited most from economic support measures. Fourth, also highly leveraged or even Zombie firms profited more from these support measures than others. Overall, the results are in line with official policies aimed at sheltering SMEs and human capital intensive firms from the Corona shock waves. However, it also seems that governments unintentionally supported firms in financial difficulties or with non-viable business models already before the pandemic.

摘要

通过使用一个大型的国际企业层面数据集,本文旨在为更好地理解与新冠疫情相关的严格措施和经济支持措施如何实际影响企业部门做出贡献。我们最重要的发现可总结如下:第一,我们发现有力证据表明,严格措施对上市公司产生了在统计和经济意义上均显著的积极影响。第二,关于经济支持措施的效果,证据充其量似乎只是微弱地支持其具有积极影响。第三,小型和劳动密集型公司从经济支持措施中获利最多。第四,高杠杆甚至僵尸企业也比其他企业从这些支持措施中获利更多。总体而言,结果与旨在保护中小企业和人力资本密集型企业免受新冠冲击的官方政策一致。然而,似乎政府在疫情爆发前就无意中支持了处于财务困境或商业模式不可行的企业。

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