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2021 年中国和美国不同类型流感的重现。

Resurgence of different influenza types in China and the US in 2021.

机构信息

Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China.

BNU-HKBU United International College, Zhuhai, China.

出版信息

Math Biosci Eng. 2023 Feb 1;20(4):6327-6333. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2023273.

Abstract

Various nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) were implemented to alleviate the COVID-19 pandemic since its outbreak. The transmission dynamics of other respiratory infectious diseases, such as seasonal influenza, were also affected by these interventions. The drastic decline of seasonal influenza caused by such interventions would result in waning of population immunity and may trigger the seasonal influenza epidemic with the lift of restrictions during the post-pandemic era. We obtained weekly influenza laboratory confirmations from FluNet to analyse the resurgence patterns of seasonal influenza in China and the US. Our analysis showed that due to the impact of NPIs including travel restrictions between countries, the influenza resurgence was caused by influenza virus A in the US while by influenza virus B in China.

摘要

自 COVID-19 大流行以来,实施了各种非药物干预(NPIs)以缓解疫情。这些干预措施也影响了其他呼吸道传染病(如季节性流感)的传播动态。季节性流感的发病率因这些干预措施而急剧下降,导致人群免疫力下降,可能会在大流行后期限制解除后引发季节性流感流行。我们从 FluNet 获得了每周流感实验室确诊数据,以分析中国和美国季节性流感的重现模式。我们的分析表明,由于国家间旅行限制等非药物干预措施的影响,美国的流感重现是由甲型流感病毒引起的,而中国的流感重现则是由乙型流感病毒引起的。

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