High-resolution history of oxygen depletion in the SW Baltic Sea since the mid-19th century as revealed by bivalve shells.

The Baltic Sea serves as a model region to study processes leading to oxygen depletion. Reconstructing past low-oxygen occurrences, specifically hypoxia, is crucial to understand current ecological disturbances and developing future mitigation strategies. The history of dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration in some Baltic Sea basins has been investigated in previous studies, but temporally well-constrained, inter-annual and better resolved DO reconstructions are still scarce. Here, we present precisely dated, high-resolution DO record since the mid-19th century reconstructed from Mn/Ca values of Arctica islandica (Bivalvia) collected in the Mecklenburg Bight. According to the data, this area experienced similar low oxygenation during the second half of the 19th century and the late 20th century, but DO variability increased: A 12-15-yr oscillation prevailed in the 19th century, but a 4-6-year period dominated in the late 20th century. Shortly after the onset of the Industrial Revolution around 1850, Mn/Ca values increased, indicating a DO decrease, probably caused by strong anthropogenic nutrient input. More recently, phosphate levels and inflows of oxygen-rich North Sea water have been identified as major factors controlling the bottom water oxygenation. For example, the increase in DO in the mid-1990s was linked to the decrease in phosphate content and several Major Baltic Inflows. The strong Ba/Ca rise between the 1860s and the turn of the century most likely reflects changes in diatom community structure rather than a bloom of mass phytoplankton. This is supported by largely unchanged Mn/Ca and shell growth. Decadal and multi-decadal cycles of shell growth rate correlated strongly with the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability, likely reflecting changes in atmospheric circulation patterns, precipitation rate and riverine nutrient supply. To further improve the management and protection of ecosystems in the Baltic Sea, a larger number of such high-resolution retrospective studies covering long periods of time and large regions are needed.