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可再生和不可再生能源消耗、经济增长以及东非和南非国家的 CO 排放:非正式部门的作用。

Renewable and nonrenewable energy consumption, economic growth, and CO emissions in Eastern and South African countries: the role of informality.

机构信息

World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC, USA.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jun;30(28):72575-72587. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-27549-2. Epub 2023 May 13.

Abstract

This study investigates the role of informality in the relationship among renewable and nonrenewable energy consumption, economic growth, and CO emissions in a panel of 19 Eastern and South African countries. The empirical strategy exploits the panel generalized method of moments, panel fixed effects models using the Driscoll-Kraay standard errors, panel method of moments quantile regressions, and the Dumitrescu-Hurlin bootstrap panel Granger causality analysis. The results are fourfold. First, nonrenewable energy consumption is positively associated with CO emissions, while renewable energy consumption is not. Second, there is a nonlinear ∩ -shaped relationship between economic growth and CO emissions, consistent with the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis. Third, the results show a nonlinear ∪ -shaped relationship between informality and CO emissions, suggesting that higher informality is associated with lower CO emissions up to a certain critical point beyond which further increases in informality precipitate higher CO emissions. Fourth, the results show unidirectional causality from CO emissions to renewable energy, from CO emissions to nonrenewable energy, from informality to CO emissions, and feedback causality between GDP growth and CO emissions.

摘要

本研究考察了非正式性在 19 个东非和南非国家的可再生能源和不可再生能源消费、经济增长和 CO2 排放之间关系中的作用。实证策略利用了面板广义矩方法、面板固定效应模型(使用 Driscoll-Kraay 标准误差)、面板矩分位数回归和 Dumitrescu-Hurlin 自举面板格兰杰因果关系分析。结果有四点。首先,不可再生能源消费与 CO2 排放呈正相关,而可再生能源消费则不然。其次,经济增长与 CO2 排放之间存在非线性∩形关系,符合环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说。第三,结果表明非正式性与 CO2 排放之间存在非线性∪形关系,表明在一定的临界点之前,较高的非正式性与较低的 CO2 排放相关,超过该临界点,进一步增加非正式性会导致更高的 CO2 排放。第四,结果表明 CO2 排放对可再生能源、CO2 排放对不可再生能源、非正式性对 CO2 排放存在单向因果关系,以及 GDP 增长和 CO2 排放之间存在反馈因果关系。

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