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观测到的塔克拉玛干沙漠及其周边地区的极端降水。

Precipitation extremes observed over and around the Taklimakan Desert, China.

机构信息

College of Geography and Tourism, Xinjiang Normal University, Urumqi, Xinjiang, China.

Institute of Desert Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Urumqi, Xinjiang, China.

出版信息

PeerJ. 2023 May 10;11:e15256. doi: 10.7717/peerj.15256. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

The Taklimakan Desert (TD) is the largest desert in China located in the Tarim Basin (TB) in China's arid region. This study is a review of the change in precipitation and its extremes since 1961 and the high-impact extreme precipitation events in 2012-2021, particularly in 2021, with a focus on the TD along with the surrounding oases and mountainous regions.The TB has experienced significantly warmer and wetter trends since 1961, and extreme rainfall has increased significantly in the TD and its surrounding areas during the 2000s. In the TB, the year 2021 was identified as the 4th warmest for 1961-2021, and was remembered for unprecedented extreme events. Three high-impact extreme events that occurred in 2021 are highlighted, including extreme heavy rainfall over Hetian in mid-June. The earliest extreme rainfall event occurred over North Bazhou in early spring, and the strongest heavy snowfall over Baicheng in April. In addition, we also discussed the underlying physical mechanisms of extreme events over the TB and proposed novel perspectives and unresolved questions on the sciences of heavy rainfall in arid regions. Our results provide a reference for the physical mechanism, attribution, and high-resolution modeling of extreme events.

摘要

塔克拉玛干沙漠(TD)是中国最大的沙漠,位于中国干旱地区的塔里木盆地(TB)。本研究回顾了自 1961 年以来降水及其极值的变化,以及 2012-2021 年特别是 2021 年的高强度极端降水事件,重点关注 TD 及其周围绿洲和山区。自 1961 年以来,TB 经历了明显的变暖变湿趋势,TD 及其周边地区的极端降雨在 2000 年代显著增加。在 TB,2021 年被确定为 1961-2021 年第四暖年,以史无前例的极端事件而被铭记。突出强调了 2021 年发生的三个高强度极端事件,包括 6 月中旬和田地区的极端强降雨。最早的极端降雨事件发生在早春的北巴州,4 月白城遭遇最强的暴雪。此外,我们还讨论了 TB 极端事件的潜在物理机制,并提出了干旱地区强降雨科学的新视角和未解决的问题。我们的研究结果为极端事件的物理机制、归因和高分辨率建模提供了参考。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7e95/10182762/05f3e4ecd907/peerj-11-15256-g001.jpg

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