Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Earth Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA.
Department of Geography, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
Nat Commun. 2023 May 23;14(1):2706. doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-38117-0.
Millions of people displaced by conflicts have found refuge in water-scarce countries, where their perceived effect on water availability has shaped local water security discourses. Using an annual global data set, we explain the effects of refugee migrations on the host countries' water stress through the food demand displaced by refugees and the water necessary to produce that food. The water footprint of refugee displacement increased by nearly 75% globally between 2005 and 2016. Although minimal in most countries, implications can be severe in countries already facing severe water stress. For example, refugees may have contributed up to 75 percentage points to water stress in Jordan. While water considerations should not, alone, determine trade and migration policy, we find that small changes to current international food supply flows and refugee resettlement procedures can potentially ease the effect of refugee displacement on water stress in water-vulnerable countries.
数以百万计的因冲突而流离失所的人在水资源匮乏的国家找到了避难所,他们对水资源供应的影响塑造了当地的水资源安全话语。我们利用一个年度的全球数据集,通过难民所带来的粮食需求以及生产这些粮食所需的水资源,解释难民迁移对东道国水资源压力的影响。2005 年至 2016 年间,全球难民流离失所的水足迹增加了近 75%。虽然在大多数国家影响很小,但在已经面临严重水资源压力的国家,影响可能会很严重。例如,在约旦,难民可能导致水压力增加了多达 75 个百分点。虽然水的考虑因素不应该单独决定贸易和移民政策,但我们发现,对当前国际粮食供应流动和难民重新安置程序进行微小的调整,可能有助于减轻难民流离失所在水资源脆弱国家对水资源压力的影响。