School of Medicine, College of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan.
Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan.
Postgrad Med J. 2023 May 22;99(1170):326-332. doi: 10.1136/postgradmedj-2021-141147.
This study focused on the predictive ability of the 3 scores for all-cause mortality in 6444 patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).
To assess the predictive accuracy of risk of death modelled by HATCH, HAVOC and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, the area under the curve of receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) was applied.
Over follow-up time, the cumulative incidence of death was clearly associated with the three scores (log-rank test, p<0.001). The AUROC for the HATCH (0.6618) was significantly higher than HAVOC Score (0.5733) and CHA2DS2-VAScs Score (0.6423).
HATCH score has better ability in predicting mortality in comparison to other two scores in patients with AF.
本研究关注 6444 例房颤（AF）患者的 3 种评分对全因死亡率的预测能力。
为评估 HATCH、HAVOC 和 CHA2DS2-VASc 评分预测死亡风险的准确性，应用受试者工作特征曲线下面积（AUROC）。
随访期间，死亡率的累积发生率与 3 种评分明显相关（对数秩检验，p<0.001）。HATCH 评分（0.6618）的 AUROC 明显高于 HAVOC 评分（0.5733）和 CHA2DS2-VASc 评分（0.6423）。
与另外两种评分相比，HATCH 评分在预测 AF 患者死亡率方面具有更好的能力。
